The saga of the Topps (NASDAQ: TOPP) buyout has dragged on far longer than anyone could have predicted. When the trading card company agreed to be acquired by Madison Dearborn Partners and Michael Eisner's The Tornante Company for $9.75 per share, BloggingStocks' Tom Taulli wrote that Topps had hit a single. He wasn't the only one who was less than enthused about the buyout. Several dissident Topps directors voted against the deal, and Topps responded by barring them from the go-shop process. Then Upper Deck made an offer of $10.75, and Topps rejected it, saying that Upper Deck didn't have financing and that the proposal had antitrust concerns. Upper Deck responded with a hostile tender offer.
Given the size of the buyout -- less than $420 million -- the deal has generated a lot of buzz. Perhaps it's that so many of us covering the deal have nostalgic memories of collecting our baseball heroes. But the level of rhetoric and the amount of back and forth has also made the deal interesting.
It's hard to know exactly how this will end -- will Eisner & co. raise their bid? The matter has ended up in court with a judge chastising Eisner and Topps with good reason -- the company forgot to tell shareholders that Eisner had agreed to keep the much-maligned current management team in place after the buyout.
BusinessWeek's Ronald Glover takes an interesting look at Michael Eisner's role in this whole mess, referring to him as the "drive-by victim of what's fast becoming a shareholder circus".
At this point, I would say that Upper Deck looks like the favorite to go home with Topps. The shares are trading at $10.59, indicating that shareholders are confident it won't go for the original $9.75 offer. The small spread between the current price and Upper Deck's offer indicates that investors believe an even higher offer could emerge.
The BusinessWeek piece cites sources who say that Eisner is unlikely to raise his offer, but it might be a mistake to count him out just yet.
As for his show on CNBC, I think you probably can count that one out. He's no Larry King, although King was recently a guest on the show.
