Summer Budget Travel Tips from Gadling

Sheldon Liber
-

Feed

Serious Money: GE should focus on water and power

It's time to make some major changes, something I have said before. I am not the first to suggest this and I am quite sure I will not be the last. General Electric (NYSE: GE) needs to take some serious action to add shareholder value. Apparently, Jeffrey Immelt was very embarrassed after last quarter's earnings announcement, when the company reported disappointing earnings following Immelts' own earlier statement that they would hit their targets.

After GE sells its kitchen and laundry appliances, which is on the block now, it will still own business-producing aircraft engines, locomotives, electric distribution and control equipment, generators and turbines, and medical-imaging equipment. GE is also one of the preeminent financial services companies in the U.S. Commercial finance, consumer finance, and equipment financing and leasing together comprise the company's largest segment. Here is the formal list from the company web site:


Continue reading Serious Money: GE should focus on water and power

The daily recession angst: AAPL, BSC, C, F, GOOG, JPM, MER, MSFT, YHOO, oil, gold & war

Every day another story about our recession and the related fallout pops up. Are we in a recession or not? Or will we just teeter on the edge? The debate continues between those anal retentive types that must see all the actual facts, and those that see the signs all around and proclaim that "if it looks like a duck and it quacks like a duck, then by golly..."

The Federal Reserve Board has acted as if we are in a recession. They sit on one side of the teeter totter lowering interest rates to counter balance the weak economy and moderate the impact of potential negative growth. Clearly they are throwing ballast off a sinking ship.

There has been much debate recently about the Fed's dramatic bailout of The Bear Stearns Companies, Inc. (NYSE: BSC) with the cooperation and maybe hand rubbing of JP Morgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM). Some feel Bear Stearns should have been allowed to collapse and others feel that the Fed had no choice in the matter and was not protecting BSC, but the overall confidence in world financial markets.

Continue reading The daily recession angst: AAPL, BSC, C, F, GOOG, JPM, MER, MSFT, YHOO, oil, gold & war

Google sponsoring private mission to the moon

Google Lunar XPrize It seems that Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) is not only interested in conquering virtual space but outer space as well. Through the ever expanding horizons of billionaire Google co-founder Sergei Brin, Google has created together with the X PRIZE Foundation the Google Lunar X PRIZE. Like so many Google activities, this is a very long-term enterprise.

Our architecture practice has done work for the aerospace industry, including the structural test lab for the space shuttle and other unique projects. This created the impetus for our involvement with numerous interesting organizations, one of which is the X-Prize Foundation. It and the Ansari Family Foundation were instrumental in the promotion through a $10 million prize to privately fund sub-orbital travel.

We had the spectacular privilege of being present at both launches of Space Ship One from the Mojave Spaceport (thanks JSS) near Edwards Air Force Base that managed to put a manned vehicle outside the atmosphere for a duration of 60 seconds twice in a ten-day period. Space Ship One, the winning entry, was designed and built by Burt Rutan, supported by funding from Paul Allen.

Continue reading Google sponsoring private mission to the moon

Serious Money: Home Depot (HD) deal is fine by me

home depot hd supply hd-supply

The Home Depot (NYSE: HD) has been a big disappointment to me this year and to long-term shareholders it has been worse.

The brutal housing market, slowing construction, tapped-out consumers, tightening credit markets, not to mention rampant company mismanagement, have all played their part. Then you have the competition from Lowe's (NYSE: LOW), so maybe I was just early and there is a lot of opportunity ahead. I tend to think so, but this story is about the sale of Home Depot's Supply Unit:

The original deal was for private equity firms Bain Capital Partners, Carlyle Group and Clayton, Dubilier & Rice to purchase price HD Supply for $10.3 billion, now reduced to $8.5 billion. This is $1.8 billion less, but that is not the end of the story. Home Depot will be receiving 17.476% less money but is selling 12.5% less of the company so the real difference is a 4.976% reduction in the price. This is not such a bad deal since it now shares in the upside of the new entity's future. Some might argue a path to an upside that will be paved by a better management group.

Although I am sure I am in the minority on this issue, I think The Home Depot negotiated a good deal given the circumstances. It is better for all concerned. The banks have less exposure, the private equity buyers have less risk and a lower purchase price and HD gets to close the deal with some future upside. This may actually work out better than the original deal.

Does anyone believe that the new owners will not outpace HD's return on equity or invested capital? I would bet that remaining 12.5% interest in HD Supply doubles in value faster than Home Depot's stock value. Interestingly, while the words I read here and there make this deal out as a disappointment the action on Wall Street has the stock trading up as a I write, about $1.2 billion in capitalization. Given that the option of not closing the deal might have caused the stock to trade lower, the difference between the downside risk and the upside stock move probably equals or exceeds the $1.8 billion dollars. So I like the deal very much.

To verify my track record, including bad calls, read Chasing Value and Serious Money.

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm.

Continue reading Serious Money: Home Depot (HD) deal is fine by me

Kramer said a possible 25% market collapse?

You really should watch Hilary Kramer: Market has further to fall, but there is opportunity in KDN, CBI, ACH to get some market perspective. The video was posted on August 21, 2007 and she makes some very good stock recommendations. Over the past 18 months that I have been looking at her picks versus those of James Cramer, I have found that you would have done better with Hilary.

While giving her full credit for her stock picking and market coverage I find I must strongly disagree with a statement she made. Cautioning viewers that " There is going to be a meltdown" is not overly alarming, but I take great exception to her stating that "This market can go down 25%." She shared her fear that there are 9000 hedge funds and that 3000 might close down.

It is possible that people may panic in certain circumstances and the market can stray into irrational short-term behavior once again, but I find her reasoning a little soft. Let's assume that the 9000 hedge funds own 50% of the total equity in the stock market (they don't) and one third go out of business, that would equate to a 15% collapse of value (unscientific, I know, but there is some correlation).

Continue reading Kramer said a possible 25% market collapse?

CB Stealth - some progress, some minor setbacks - Chapter 4

This another of my reports from the inside of an internet start-up. It is very interesting to be involved with something so new and so eventful. Every day it seems some new intrigue pops up. The founders, Howard and Brent, have been excellent to work with. Between them and the key advisory board members, we already have the nucleus of a successful team. Those investors who focus on management as the highest priority have been very pleased.

Yesterday (5/24/07) we had another investor meeting with a small group of people to present the latest progress on CB Stealth, my angel investment. The company has made some major strides in the software platform and raised additional capital since my last report about three weeks ago CB Stealth - our start-up gaining traction. We had hoped to have the Beta site up by now but we have added a few more bells and whistles and we are changing our servers (hardware issues) so it has been delayed until mid-June, or so I have been told.

Interest in CB Stealth from old media companies seems to be accumulating and it seems that, two in particular are anxious to meet with us even before the Beta version goes up. This is all new to me because I have not been involved with any Internet ventures as a principal. If we take on any large investors our valuation will go up and our control over the company will likely go down. One of the key decisions is going to be whether we wait for a higher valuation in six months after we are up and running or we take the cash now which would allow us to ramp up faster.

Continue reading CB Stealth - some progress, some minor setbacks - Chapter 4

CB Stealth - our start-up gaining traction

This is the third in a running series of stories I have been posting about a new Internet company that I am a seed investor in and sit on the advisory board of. I hope to report on the progress of the company from the inside and share my feelings and education about the process, and the progress of the company as it grows. This afternoon we are having another investor presentation. We expect to have our beta site up and running in two to three weeks, and we hope to go 'live' and start building the community a month after that.

New social networking sites are springing up every day and becoming more specialized. When we go live I will be able to disclose more but for now CB Stealth is doing all the right things as we reach for rung after rung. We are not a social networking site -- we are a community. There is a social aspect to our community but it is not the heart of the community. Our business model depends on subscriptions and software sales and support. Targeted advertising will be a secondary revenue generator but our model does not rely on that. We expect some corporate and foundation sponsorship based on the focused community we are growing.

Raising capital is interesting because some people are able to write the check without much hesitation and others fret about all the wrong things, and more often than you would think having the liquidity is not an issue although some use that as an excuse. CB Stealth is getting a big head start by acquiring another smaller and even more focused community that the founders played a role in creating.

Continue reading CB Stealth - our start-up gaining traction

REITs and funds overpaying for investment properties

There are mountains of cash out there and it is putting huge pressure on the real estate market -- driving up the cost of industrial, commercial and retail properties. The housing market may be hurting badly, but that's homes and condominiums only - because apartment buildings are attracting plenty of investors too.

In the past six months I have looked at no less than a thousand properties in the western United States and could not find anything worth buying. It must be just me, cause plenty of investors are buying property at cap rates between 3 and 6 everywhere. I don't know if it's just the abundance of OPM (other people's money) out there that is burning a hole in investor pockets or I'm blind to the values and just missing out. Perhaps all this property is going to appreciate greatly in the next few years and I don't see it.

Perhaps it is me because I tend to pass over thousands of stocks too, before being satisfied any one of them is worth buying. Interestingly property has been changing hands at a faster and faster pace in the last few years so things are being bid up. Another factor may be investors' bearish sentiment about the falling dollar and the possibility of inflation hiding around the next corner so they seek tangible hard assets and are willing to accept smaller returns. One theory suggests that foreign money from places where cap rates are traditionally higher, combined with their currently strong currencies make our real estate market a bargain. This seems like a probable cause to some degree.

I also wonder if all the stock buybacks, company buyouts, and new capitalists in China, India, Russia and Eastern Europe plus the folks with cash from oil countries are just creating hyper demand the past few years.

All I can do is stick to my guidelines, continue to be patient and watch for an opportunity. Investing in properties without a return higher than a treasury note is not something I am going to do.

Those of you who are new to BloggingStocks.com can check out my other stories and read Chasing Value or Serious Money to find more potential opportunities and verify my track record as well.

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the vice president for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. Check out his other posts for BloggingStocks here.

Continue reading REITs and funds overpaying for investment properties

My angel investing experience -- time to bail out

A few months ago I posted a story about a possible new niche organic food company I might invest in. The founder of the company was looking for seed capital and follow-on funding. He has been developing the product for several years and has most details of his business plan worked out. However, he has no funding as of yet, and while he has numerous connections in the food industry, he is light on all of the other things that go into the management and execution of the business. Based on four months of discussions and assisting him as part of his unofficial advisory board, we moved closer to striking a deal.

My own knowledge of the food industry is severely lacking, and I am not very well-versed in retail sales or distribution either, but many of our skill sets were complimentary. The founder is a family acquaintance (caution lights blinking) and I was interested in helping him out if I could. I do believe the business is viable.

We got into discussions more recently about whether to go public (penny stock) or stay private. The potential to raise capital using different approaches and, most importantly from my perspective, how critical it was to start up with a bang or take a go-slow approach. This proved to be one of our major points of contention. I was in favor of bootstrapping the company along and not taking on very much debt, funding growth out of profits. My associate wanted to scale-up fast and was willing to take on greater debt to develop a few additional products that he had in mind to expand the line, even before we had established the initial product in the market. While I credit him for knowing his industry and the potential market, my own general business principles started to be tested.

Since I could not offer much of my time, I introduced my entrepreneur friend to another good friend that does have the time, knowledge, capital, and experience to help with the execution of the business on a full-time basis. He was actually looking for his next venture and has a personal interest in gourmet food. His experience also includes business development and international sales for a Fortune 500 company -- perfect I thought. Just like the big venture capitalists, I would bring cash and business leadership and all would be right in the world.

Continue reading My angel investing experience -- time to bail out

Will interest rates move up or down?

While reaffirming their focus on keeping inflation in check, the Federal Reserve Board has been passive about interest rate increases lately. The Board has been very clear they will remain inflation hawks and will take action to prevent any significant upward inflationary trend.

In the meantime, Wall Streeters are taking on ever increasing debt with more leveraged buy-outs, issuance of more corporate bonds and preferred stock and the first-ever unsecured bond offering by a hedge fund. According to the December 11, 2006 issue of Barron's, Citadel Investment Group of Chicago sold $500 million of five year notes yielding 6.343%.

It is not just Wall Street, either. In the real estate world the same thing is happening. While mortgage rates have moved up over the last 30 months, they are still historically low. For example, in 1998 we refinanced a property using a conduit loan and were thrilled to lock-in a rate of 6.7% (25 year / due in 10). The best traditional loan at the time was 8.1%. After rates moved down our fantastic loan seems only average but we saved some money and had predictability.

Now we find conduit loans can be had as low as 5.7% and traditional mortgages at 6.2%. These rates are typically offered at a maximum of 75% loan-to-value (LTV), with high occupancy, and credit tenants and may vary during the course of the day, based on many factors. At these rates we are interested in borrowing more money. Our business model is very conservative so we do not pursue maximum leverage. We might only seek up to 65% LTV. However other real estate investors are maxing out their leverage, apparently believing the market rates will move higher in the foreseeable future.

Continue reading Will interest rates move up or down?

Angel investing: Here I go again?

Last Monday night I had a meeting with a friend (JW) who has been developing a new company over the last six years and has reached the point where he needs angel investors to help get the company to the next level.

I am sharing this story for those Blogging Stocks readers who are interested to learn more about how angel investing works -- both from the perspective of the company seeking funding and the investor considering ponying up cash.

I have done some fundraising on a small scale in the private equity market and have been an "Angel" investor once before, and approached many times. My first adventure in this arena has been a total loss to date, and is a real long shot to make a comeback.

In the case of that product, a plastics additive, the experience and execution of management did not equal the quality of the product. The learning curve of key players in the organization took longer than it should have and they burned through capital faster than the product could be successfully introduced into the market place. They have backed up a few steps and I understand that they are experiencing some sales growth. But their future is still a big question mark.

JW's company has developed a line of packaged gourmet meals, focused on health food (he brought some impressive samples) that are already on some chain store shelves.

Continue reading Angel investing: Here I go again?

BloggingBuyouts is provided for informational purposes only. Nothing on the service is intended to provide personally tailored advice concerning the nature, potential, value or suitability of any particular security, portfolio or securities, transaction, investment strategy or other matter. You are solely responsible for any investment decisions that you make. The contributors who provide the content of BloggingBuyouts may, from time to time, hold positions in the securities discussed at the time of writing and they may trade for their own accounts. Such holdings will be disclosed at the time of writing. By using the site, you agree to abide to BloggingBuyouts' Terms of Use.

Terms of Use

Deals
Alliance Boots, bidding war, 2007 (2)
Bausch and Lomb, $3.7b, 2007 (1)
Blackstone, IPO, 2007 (44)
Chrysler, $7.5b, 2007 (28)
DoubleClick, $3.1b, Apr 2007 (2)
Express Stores, $548m, 2007 (2)
Harman Int'l, 2007 (7)
Laureate, $3.1b, 2007 (1)
Palm Inc, 2007 (1)
Sallie Mae, $25b, 2007 (16)
Travelport, $4.3b, Aug 2006 (1)
TXU Inc., 2007 (16)
Features
Activist investing (127)
Top deals (61)
Firms
Apax Partners (9)
Apollo Management (47)
Bain Capital (67)
Cerberus Capital (53)
Citigroup (11)
Clayton, Dubilier and Rice Inc. (8)
Golden Gate Partners (4)
GS Capital Partners (29)
J.C. Flowers (19)
KKR (119)
Madison Dearborn Partners (23)
Merrill Lynch (5)
Morgan Stanley Capital Partners (5)
Permira (6)
Providence Equity Partners (16)
Silver Lake Partners (21)
Texas Pacific Group (69)
The Blackstone Group (174)
The Carlyle Group (76)
Thoma Cressey Equity Partners (0)
Thomas H. Lee Partners (27)
Warburg Pincus (10)
Welsh, Carson, Anderson and Stowe (3)
News
Deals (663)
Engagements (104)
Financials and analyticals (80)
Investments (234)
Management (121)
Management fees (19)
Movers and shakers (67)
Private equity (29)
Private equity industry (341)
Public or private? (209)
Raising money (144)
Rumors (191)
Shareholders (98)
Taxes and regulations (45)
Value and lack thereof (124)
Venture capital industry (54)

RSS NEWSFEEDS

Powered by Blogsmith

Sponsored Links