Analyst Upgrades

• Berstein upgraded Diamond Offshore (DO) to market perform from underperform based on valuation. The firm has a $69 price target on the stock.
• Jefferies upgraded Patterson-UTI Energy (PTEN) to buy from hold, citing leverage to higher land rig pricing. The firm raised its price target to $21 from $17.
• Wunderlich upgraded Renasant (RNST) to buy from hold following the company's acquisition of Crescent Bank. The firm raised its target for shares to $20 from $15.
• AT&T (T) was upgraded to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank.
• Blackstone (BX) was upgraded to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
• Scripps Networks (SNI) was upgraded to overweight from equal weight at Morgan Stanley.

If you have been shying away from the Blackstone Group (BX) because its stock has fallen from a high above $17 in October 2009 to a low just above $9 earlier this month, you are not alone. However, it is time to take a second look at this private-equity firm gone public.

Blackstone, citing a rebound in the value of its real estate portfolio, surprised Wall Street today by beating analyst expectations by 2 cents per share. The consensus estimate had come in at 16 cents, and Blackstone posted earnings of 18 cents per share on $205 million in profit.

This may be the catalyst the stock needed to help it complete an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern on its chart and send it climbing higher.

As stocks continue to drift lower and lower, the risk/reward bias is starting to shift to the long side. Make no mistake, there are still tremendous risks in this market, but for risk-embracing, long-term investors it may be time to start wading back into equities.

If you want to bet on a second half rebound and are looking to get plenty of upside potential in return, the place to look is in the private-equity complex. In particular, Fortress Investment Group (FIG), The Blackstone Group (BX) and Apollo Investment Corp. (AINV) will give you plenty of bang for your buck if the current downtrend reverses itself.

Analyst Upgrades

• JPMorgan upgraded T. Rowe Price (TROW) to overweight from neutral while downgrading Janus Capital (JNS) to underweight from neutral to reflect valuations and fundamentals. The firm has a $67 price target for T. Rowe Price shares.
• Piper Jaffray upgraded Lincoln Electric (LECO) to overweight from neutral as it believes the rebound in global manufacturing is accelerating. The firm has a $70 price target on the stock.
• Wells Fargo upgraded Highwoods Properties (HIW) to market perform from underperform, citing valuation and a strong balance sheet.
• Corning (GLW) was upgraded to outperform from sector perform at RBC Capital.
• Allergan (AGN) was upgraded to conviction buy from neutral at Goldman.
• Mohawk (MHK) was upgraded to buy from neutral at SunTrust.

Blackstone Group (BX), the publicly traded private equity firm, has high hopes for India's growth prospects. After announcing a $50 million stake in India-based media company Jagran Media Network, Blackstone revealed that it plans to invnest as much as $3 billion in the emerging market over the next five years.

"We are bullish on India," said Akhil Gupta, chairman and managing director of Blackstone India, during a telephone interview with Reuters. "We just invested nearly $1 billion in India during the last five years and we believe it could be two to three times [that amount] over the next five years."

If you're looking to buy into an upswing post-recession, it doesn't look like the private equity market will be on your list. Valuations didn't fall as much as you might think, meaning that the bargains you usually find during a downturn just aren't showing up this time.

In the leveraged buyout market, prices were around 25% higher, on average, than they were in 2001, when the dotcom economy fell apart, according to Standard & Poor's Leveraged Commentary & Data. And transactions closed in the past three months have hit heir highest levels since the private equity market peaked in 2007.

Says Christopher O'Brien, president for U.S. and Europe of Investcorp Bank BSC, another "golden era" isn't coming. He tells Bloomberg News, "There's a lot of pressure to put investors' money to work now, and valuations are still high. It's a seller's market."

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage on BloggingStocks:

• American Public Education Inc. (APEI) received an analyst upgrade following the Q4 report and guidance.
• Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) traded higher after it reported swinging to a profit in Q4, but revenue declined year over year.
• Blackstone Group (BX) reported adjusted Q4 earnings, compared to a year-ago loss, and postive renvenue too.
• Campbell Soup Co. (CPB) higher Q2 earnings beat estimates, but shares fell on so-so revenue results.
• DreamWorks Animation SKG Inc. (DWA) lower Q4 earnings beat expectations but net income for the full year rose.
• Garmin Ltd. (GRMN) topped analysts' Q4 earnings expectations but shares fell after it warned of lower margins.

For alternative asset managers, the financial results can be complex and volatile. Just look at the Blackstone Group's (BX) latest quarterly results. Revenues came to $725.3 million, which compares to negative revenues of $611.3 million in the same period a year ago. Adjusted earnings were $329.4 million, or $0.29 per share, which is up from a loss of $763.8 million, or $0.68 per share.

Of course, these results also reflect the brutal impact of the credit crunch.

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) wanted a piece of what could be the most interesting insurance IPO of the year, but it won't get a taste.

American International Group's (AIG) Asian life insurance unit, American International Association, is going to go public in Hong Kong for an estimated $10 billion, and JPMorgan isn't being allowed to play, insiders say, because of a sour relationship that stretches back to the September 2008 financial crisis. As a result, it will be the only major investment bank not being admitted to the party.

For a mega private equity firm like Blackstone (BX), there's a need to get liquidity on a mega scale. So this week, the firm prepared for one of its holdings, Travelport, to go public. The deal could be worth as much as $3 billion.

Blackstone will float the deal on the London Stock Exchange. There will also be the issuance of 7.2% of the stock to Government of Singapore Investment Corp. (for about $225 million).

The Blackstone Group (BX) is one of the world's largest private equity real estate investors, with a global portfolio of $23.7 billion. The firm also has extensive hotel holdings. Some of the brands include Hilton, La Quinta, Waldorf-Astoria, Boca Raton Resort & Club and the Trianon Palace Versailles.

In fact, as financing warms up -- and valuations remain attractive -- Blackstone is starting the year by boosting its holdings. According to a report in the Wall Street Journal (subscription required), the firm is angling to control Highland Hospitality. This was done by making a clever purchase of outstanding debt from Wachovia.

With assets of over $96 billion, the Blackstone Group (BX) needs to get liquid on many deals to generate competitive returns for its investors. This means being aggressive with IPOs. In fact, it looks like 2010 will be fairly active for the private-equity powerhouse.

The latest deal from Blackstone? Well, this week the firm put together an IPO filing for Graham Packaging Co. The estimated size of the proposed deal is $350 million.

While there was an uptick in the IPO market during the past couple months, it looks like things are cooling down. It seems that investors are holding off from riskier investments until next year.

Unfortunately, this is not good news for Team Health Holdings (TMH), which launched its IPO Wednesday. The company planned to issue 20 million shares at a range of $14 to $16. Instead, Team Health was only able to fetch $12 each for 13.3 million shares. The stock price was up 43 cents in morning trading.

Controlled by the Blackstone Group (BX), Pinnacle Foods is a packaged foods company whose brands can be found in about 80% of the households in the U.S. The portfolio includes Duncan Hines baking mixes and frostings, Vlasic pickles and Swanson frozen dinners.

Well, Pinnacle will get even bigger; that is, the company -- along with the financing from Blackstone -- will purchase Birds Eye Foods for roughly $1.3 billion. There will also be debt financing from Barclays Capital (BCS), Credit Suisse (CS), BofA Merrill Lynch (BAC), HSBC and Macquarie Capital.

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage on BloggingStocks:

• Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) lower Q3 results still topped expectations and sent shares higher.
• Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) posted much better-than-expected Q4 earnings, the first profit in a year.
• AstraZeneca (AZN) received an analyst's downgrade due to concerns over its earnings prospects.
• Blackstone Group (BX) received an analyst's upgrade following the company's Q3 results.
• Blockbuster Inc. (BBI) widened its net loss in Q3 and revenue and same-stores sales declined.
• Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (CLNE) shares declined after its Q3 numbers fell short of expectations.
• Consolidated Water Co. Inc. (CWCO) earnings prospects for 2010 earned it an analyst upgrade.