FeedPosted Jun 9th 2008 8:02AM by Jon Ogg (RSS feed)
Filed under: Financials and analyticals, Raising money, Investments, Value and lack thereof
Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (NYSE:
LEH) has in effect set itself up for a future takeunder, or so its pricing and trading seems. The business itself has few proprietary operations, and all of its assets walk in the doors early in the morning and leave at night.
The investment banking and trading firm is raising approximately $6 billion to shore up its balance sheet. It is a solid amount of capital, but it is very bad news that the brokerage had to raise that much. Lehman's loss for the last quarter is now
reported as about $2.8 billion. Not so long ago, estimates were for that number to be $300 million.
That leaves Wall Street wondering what other firms are facing. It is hard to imagine Lehman's losses could be eight times greater than expected without results being very poor at other firms trading and investment banking firms.
Lehman likely needs this capital because is still bleeding in the current quarter and may be damaged more through the rest of the year. The company may come out and say that it doesn't need any more capital and that this is it, but we have heard that song over and over. In fact, on Wall Street 2008 may be the year of "Brother can you spare a few billion in change?" for major investment banks and lending institutions.
Most firms on Wall Street put money into the same mortgage paper, LBO loans, CDOs and CLOs, and other derivatives to one extent or another. Lehman's shares traded at a 52-week high of $82.00. In mid-May, it was trading in the mid-$40's. Lehman closed at $32.29 Friday. Shares are trading around $29.50 or $29.60 in pre-market after having traded around $28.00 in earlier pre-market trading.
Posted May 29th 2008 2:00PM by Jon Ogg (RSS feed)
Filed under: Deals, Top deals, Rumors, Financials and analyticals, Private equity industry, Public or private?
BCE, Inc. (NYSE:
BCE) is one of the large multi-billion dollar pending mergers that is on hold and is caught in the middle of a fight. Its merger has been on the books for nearly a year but its ultimate fate is not yet know. Because of all the speculation in this and with a legal fight currently underway, this one is uncertain.
We have seen leveraged trading in the stock options activity today that threw up a big giant red flag. More than 20,000 options contracts traded today that looks like a straddle play in the June options.
You can
read the full story at
Volume Spike (VSinvestor.com) to see in-depth options analysis, where we think this stock has to go, and more detailed data on the BCE, Inc. legal fight.
Posted May 15th 2008 8:56AM by Jon Ogg (RSS feed)
Filed under: The Blackstone Group, Financials and analyticals, Private equity industry, Shareholders
The Blackstone Group L.P. (NYSE:
BX) has
reported earnings this morning, and the initial response is lower. The private equity giant posted a GAAP net loss of $246.7 million after items, and its
"economic net income" was also a loss at -$93.6 million.
The company said that its total net reportable segment revenues were $32.3 million, driven down by declines in all business segments from $1.23 billion in 2007. Its GAAP revenues were $68.5 million.
Corporate Private Equity had negative first quarter revenues; Real Estate revenues down 94%; Marketable Alternative Asset Management down 81%; Financial Advisory Revenues decreased 24%
You can look through the entire release, but as the company noted, most business segments were indeed lower.
Interestingly enough, the company now has $113.53 billion in assets under management. It has also decided to make a dividend payment of $0.30.
Shares of Blackstone are down about 4% at $18.70 in pre-market trading.
Posted May 12th 2008 1:57PM by Jon Ogg (RSS feed)
Filed under: Deals, Top deals, Financials and analyticals, Bain Capital, Thomas H. Lee Partners, Morgan Stanley Capital Partners, Citigroup
The almost never-ending Clear Channel Communications Inc. (NYSE: CCU) buyout may finally clear. Numerous reports talk about a settlement was reached this weekend between the banks and the buyers. The New York Times has a full report, while the WSJ also has data on its reporting too.
A year ago, Bain Capital and Thomas H. Lee Partners agreed to buy the largest U.S. radio broadcaster for $39.50 per share but the deal delayed after the six banks failed to provided promised financing. The New York trials between the banks and the buyers were set to begin this morning and the judge postponed the trial until Tuesday, largely thought to allow more time to complete a settlement. The new terms for the buyout reduced the price to $36.00 per share, according to someone familiar with the settlement. The six banks include Morgan Stanley, Citigroup, Deutsche, Credit Suisse, Royal Bank of Scotland, and Wachovia.
Clear Channel shares jumped on the news over 10% to $33.20. The 52-week range is $25.90 to $38.58.
Posted May 6th 2008 8:46AM by Jon Ogg (RSS feed)
Filed under: Deals, The Blackstone Group, Financials and analyticals, Private equity industry, Investments, Value and lack thereof
The Blackstone Group L P (NYSE:
BX) has
announced the closing of three newly created collateralized loan obligation funds totaling $1.3 billion. Those CLO's are trading again. These were all created over the past month, and these are just the CLO's that Blackstone participated in.
In March, Blackstone merged its existing CLO group with the team from its newly acquired GSO Capital Partners. This 35 person CLO team has offices in New York and London. The combined CLO group now manages $14 billion across 26 funds in the US and Europe.
This shows a breakdown in the actual amount per CLO, compares it to Q1 and to 2007, and it even puts the lower volume blame now on the lack of AAA rated part needed for each CLO.
Interestingly enough, Blackstone shares are up almost 50% from their post-IPO lows.
Continue reading the
full story and spot analysis at 247WallSt.com.
Posted Apr 25th 2008 7:08AM by Jon Ogg (RSS feed)
Filed under: Rumors, Financials and analyticals, Raising money, Texas Pacific Group, Merrill Lynch, Investments
A
report inthe
Financial Times says that Merrill Lynch & Co. Inc. (NYSE: MER) is holding talks with
TPG about forming closer ties. This may include the possibility of the private equity firm investing in Merrill Lynch if the investment bank needs more capital. John Thain met with key executives from TPG according to the report.
The companies have apparently been in discussions since last fall. One affiliate had offered to put in as much as $3 billion into Merrill Lynch. Merrill Lynch raised some $12+ billion in funds elsewhere for different terms.
What is interesting here is that the article notes that TPG doesn't want to appear too close to Merrill Lynch, because of the appearance of being too close to a competitor.
The company has also raised additional funds this month by selling fixed income and preferred securities.
John Thain's suspenders and belt might be a little tighter since he went on record saying Merrill Lynch will not need any more capital.
Posted Apr 23rd 2008 12:23PM by Jon Ogg (RSS feed)
Filed under: Top deals, Financials and analyticals, Value and lack thereof, Public or private?
Liberty Mutual
has agreed to acquire
Safeco Corp. (NYSE:
SAF) for some $6.12 billion this morning. Liberty offered to purchase all outstanding common shares at $68.24 per share, representing roughly a 50% premium to the closing price on Tuesday.
Safeco sells $5.9 billion worth of insurance policies annually, compared to Liberty Mutual selling some $20 billion annually. The deal will create the country's fifth largest property insurer with a combined 15,000 independent agencies. Safeco will join Liberty Mutual's Agency Markets business unit.
The boards of both companies have approved the merger and the deal is expected to close by the end of the third quarter upon regulatory and shareholder approval.
Continue reading on 247WallSt.com.
Posted Apr 22nd 2008 7:05PM by Jon Ogg (RSS feed)
Filed under: The Blackstone Group, Financials and analyticals, The Carlyle Group, Permira, Private equity industry, Value and lack thereof, Public or private?
Freescale is the old chip giant that was acquired by a private equity group led by
The Blackstone Group (NYSE:
BX),
The Carlyle Group, and
Permira Advisers. Prior to being public, this was a unit of
Motorola Inc. (NYSE:
MOT).
The company still has to report earnings as though it was a public company because of its ratings and because of its public debt. The company
has shown that over the last twelve months, the company's adjusted EBITDA was $1.55 billion.
Net sales for Q1-2008 were $1.405 billion, up from $1.361 Billion in Q1-2007 and down from $1,539 billion in Q4-2007. Unfortunately, the company is still posting an operating loss of $152 million for the quarter, compared to $654 million in operating losses in Q1-2007 and $595 million in Q4-2007. The net loss after items for this last quarter was $245 million, also down from a loss of $539 million in Q1-2007 and down from a loss of $525 million in Q4-2007.
Its cash and total short term investments were $1.25 billion on March 28, 2008, compared to $751 million at the fourth quarter ending December 31, 2007; and its accounts receivable were $680 million and inventory was $732 million. But here is where things get tricky. Its long-term debt is $over $9.3 billion alone. Of the company's total asset base of $15.197 billion, more than $5.3 billion is goodwill and more than $3.6 billion was listed as intangible assets.
If you go back to the
BloggingBuyouts article,
"Why private equity firms avoid technology companies," you'll see that being a highly leveraged technology company that requires high capital expenditures isn't always the greatest place to be be. Unfortunately for all the private equity partnersm the company can't live on EBITDA alone and many believe that Freescale will need more capital and thus more leverage.
The original private equity deal was put at $17.6 billion for an enterprise value. So far that isn't turning out too great. Who knows, maybe a re-IPO of Freescale isn't too far off.
Jon Ogg is a producer and editor of the Special Situation newsletter for 247WallSt.com. Posted Apr 16th 2008 2:51PM by Jon Ogg (RSS feed)
Filed under: Deals, Financials and analyticals, Private equity industry, Investments, Value and lack thereof, Public or private?
It was almost amazing that private equity funds never acquired many banks or other depository institutions, despite the lending woes that came to pass. For some time there was value there before the logic and rationale behind credit evaluations were tossed out the window. We had discussed this with many groups last year and the answer was always that the private equity firms were sitting out to avoid the relative valuation erosion as peer-pressure drove down the value of the solid companies.
Wilbur Ross may soon be making a change to this approach of avoiding the group. Last week there many reports out of
Reuters,
Crains, and others discussing Ross's intent to go after depository institutions.
The past articles discussed and pondered different aspects that Ross and his new backers might pursue, but new information from today may shed a bit more light on Ross intends to invest this money and how sovereign wealth funds may be involved in this.
Continue reading the full article at 24/7 Wall St.
Posted Apr 7th 2008 12:20PM by Jon Ogg (RSS feed)
Filed under: Financials and analyticals, Raising money, Texas Pacific Group, Investments, Value and lack thereof
There was an interesting report that surfaced over the weekend that took greater hold on Monday morning, yet nothing official has been released.
Washington Mutual (NYSE:
WM) shares are rising sharply today on "weekend talk" that they will be supported by an investment from private-equity group led by TPG Inc, also known as Texas Pacific Group. The company has been forced to write-down billions on home-mortgages and loan losses since the credit crisis, and WaMu is also one of the large quasi-money-center banks that is at-risk of being in jeopardy on its own.
According to Reuters, it said "a source" says the deal could be announced as soon as today
It could be a substantial investment of some $5 billion, although once you get into details the number mysteriously changes wildly among sources as far as terms and as far as dollars. Whatever it is, it's working for the banking giant whose stock has been battered. Shares are up $2.70, over 26%, to $12.87 on the speculation. The 52-week range is $8.72 to $44.66.
What is perhaps more interesting than anything, is that this doesn't necessarily include
Wells Fargo (NYSE:
WFC). That company has been listed as one of several companies
in a position to be a savior for distressed financial companies. This would also lend credibility to a bank or private equity saving grace for
National City Corp. (NYSE:
NCC), which has also been in the soup.
If private equity ends up being a savior for the banks, even if it is an iconic trend it would be nothing short of ironic if you have been reading about all the private equity deals that have failed.
Posted Apr 1st 2008 12:45PM by Jon Ogg (RSS feed)
Filed under: Financials and analyticals, Private equity industry
JP Morgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:
JPM) has announced
the launch of
DealVault. This is a new technology that tracks private equity investments valuations, performance, risk and exposure analysis. JP Morgan's unit called Private Equity Fund Services (PEFS) developed the system to provide CFOs, deal and investor relations professionals with a platform to centralize deal tracking information.
DealVault will also integrate with accounting and back office systems, in order to allow administration one platform. Private equity managers will be able to store portfolio company information in a web-based solution, package information in an auditor-friendly format, allow independent valuation reviews, and to cut time spent aggregating and reconciling volumes of data.
This "PEFS" unit already provides a full suite of administration services to private equity firms, real estate firms, and institutional investors; and it currently services more than 200 funds representing $50 billion in committed capital, and serves the world's largest institutions with $110 billion in aggregate committed capital across thousands of private equity investments.
Does something seem wrong or off about the timing of this launch? In 2006 this would have garnered much attention. In 2007 it would have been mandatory. While the billionaires are all supposed to be immune to economic sensitivity, that just isn't quite holding up right now. Another wave of private equity will come again, at least that is what history dictates. But the launch timing is probably one that could have been picked better.
Posted Mar 25th 2008 2:15PM by Tom Taulli (RSS feed)
Filed under: Financials and analyticals, Private equity industry, Management fees
It's been a year since Fortress Investment Group (NYSE: FIG) went public. At that time, the offering got a nice reception. After all, investors were hungry for hedge fund and private equity operators.
Of course, that's no longer the case. And the stock of Fortress has gone from $34 to a low of $9.50.
Well, this week, the firm announced its fiscal Q4 results. There was a net loss of $29.3 million, or $0.43 per share and pre-tax distributable earnings were down 43% to $78 million, or $0.18 per share. Revenues were also lackluster – falling 22% to $196 million. Although, with a large amount of assets under management (roughly $33.2 billion), Fortress saw a 43% spike in management fees.
With the roiling credit and equity markets, it's tough to complete deals. As a result, there hasn't been much opportunity to realize gains.
Despite all this, the Fortress conference call was upbeat. Keep in mind that the company focuses on asset-based investments, which tend to have less leverage and lower valuations. Besides, as major banks repair their balance sheets, there should be opportunities for players like Fortress to get some choice deals.
Interestingly enough, Fortress thinks that the second half of 2008 will be quite active. And, if the company can scoop up some transactions at compelling valuations, it could position itself nicely for the next couple years, when things get back to normal.
Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook
and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements
. He also operates DealProfiles.com.
Posted Mar 24th 2008 1:20PM by Jon Ogg (RSS feed)
Filed under: Financials and analyticals, Raising money, Private equity industry, Investments
There has been much talk about how the credit squeeze and slowing economy has affected the public markets, but how has it affected private-equity firms? An
article in the
Hartford Business discusses how private equity firms are feeling the pain, especially as many private-equity owned companies have very high risk ratings and default risks. This appears to be more concerns of the past coming to fruition over leverage and credit quality more than breaking news, but it may come front and center before long.
Additionally, private equity-backed companies have large debt loads and when combined with decreased consumer spending, companies have less cash to service those loans. Leverage has enhanced returns, but it also augments the losses and decreases the returns to the private-equity firms that own the companies. This states that 25 of the 42 companies that ratings agency Standard & Poor's says have the lowest credit ratings are owned or controlled by private-equity firms, which gives them the highest chances for default.
It also appears that many private-equity firms overestimated the potential value and performance of the companies they bought, or at least that conditions exists now that credit is tight and the economy slower. If many industries and sectors are struggling in today's economy, it should come of no surprise that private-equity firms that purchased them with leverage are feeling the burn as well. A less-leveraged economy isn't leaving the billionaires entirely immune.
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