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Comfort Zone Investing: Bend It Like Buffett

Comfort Zone Investing: Bend it Like BuffettThis past week, Warren Buffett's holding company, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), gave an update on what its stock holdings look like, what stocks were added, which ones added to, and which ones it was selling. Though there aren't many major changes in the list, there are some telling points that most investors can study and learn how to invest like Mr. Buffett.

These are stocks he's added to or added in the last quarter:

  • Becton Dickinson (BDX): Up 155,000 shares (total owned: 1.889 million shares).
  • Fiserve Inc. (FISV): This is a new position of 4.4 million shares.
  • Iron Mountain (IRM): Increased position by 206,000 shares. Has been buying this over the past several quarters with a starting position of 3.3722 million shares.

Continue reading Comfort Zone Investing: Bend It Like Buffett

Analyst Calls: ALU, CHL, EXC, GENZ, KO, NDSN, NSW, SJM, TXN ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • JPMorgan upgraded Coca-Cola (KO) to overweight from neutral due to valuation and expectations that developed market volume should improve. The firm raised its target price for shares to $66.
  • BB&T upgraded Nordson (NDSN) to buy from hold and has an $82 price target on the stock. The firm believes certain drivers of Nordson's Advanced Tech unit are becoming more secular vs. cyclical and that the company's EBIT margins can go higher.
  • Credit Suisse upgraded Embraer (ERJ) to outperform from underperform, citing the positive announcements from the Famborough Air Show. The firm raised its price target to $37 from $21.
  • Universal Health (UHS) was upgraded to outperform from sector perform at RBC Capital.
  • Mead Johnson (MJN) was upgraded to conviction buy from buy at Goldman.
  • Coventry Health (CVH) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at Leerink.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: ALU, CHL, EXC, GENZ, KO, NDSN, NSW, SJM, TXN ...

China Is Crazy over KFC

"Ya'll oughta try some of this here fried chicken; you ain't gonna believe it!" "Xie-Xie!" (pronounced "she-she") That is Chinese for thank you. From the hills of Kentucky, the Colonial Sanders secret recipe has made a splash in China. While it is well known a lot of the stuff you buy at Walmart (WMT) is made in China; what you may not know is that China is crazy for KFC.

You may not think anything of going out for Chinese with your friends and practice eating with chopsticks; when the Chinese go out with their friends to practice eating with a fork; KFC seems to be a popular option.

Continue reading China Is Crazy over KFC

Coca-Cola's Second-Quarter Earnings Top Projections

Coca-Cola (KO), the main rival to PepsiCo (PEP), closed higher by nearly 1.6% while the Dow received a beating. Shares of the beverage giant settled at $54.08. The market gave its approval to the company's latest earnings report.

I have Coke in my portfolio as a long-term holding, and I was pretty satisfied with the numbers. What I want from a quarterly report is an indication that the business continues to remain on a stable track to deliver quality future cash flows (I'm not expecting anything too exciting, for the most part). I believe investors essentially got that on Wednesday.

Continue reading Coca-Cola's Second-Quarter Earnings Top Projections

PepsiCo Up Today on Q2 Earnings

PepsiCo (PEP) is not my favorite stock, but that isn't because I dislike its business prospects. It's not my favorite because I own Coca-Cola (KO). As you can imagine, I have to dislike it at least a little bit.

But I do have to confess to being impressed by the beverage company's stock performance Tuesday afternoon. At the time of this writing, shares were higher by $2.18 to $64.23. That's a 3.5% gain, and for a stock like PepsiCo, it's pretty notable. Especially when earnings growth was, as is oftentimes expected with a blue-chip concern such as this one, rather standard and unexciting.

Continue reading PepsiCo Up Today on Q2 Earnings

Is Coca-Cola at a Bargain Price?

The shares of Coca-Cola (KO), first discussed here on February 20, 2009, at a price of $42.68, have misbehaved in the last three months, falling from $55 to about $51, but the calculation is to stick with the trade. Here's why:

Look for Coca-Cola to post 5% to 7% revenue growth in 2010, propelled higher by international sales, and strong growth in non-carbonated beverages. Efficiency improvements, moderating commodity costs, and quicker-recovering emerging markets round out the story of Coke surviving yet another recession, and then some.

Continue reading Is Coca-Cola at a Bargain Price?

Stocks with Ties to Independence Day - Part 3: Dieter's Lament

The 4th of July just wouldn't be the same without picnics and other celebrations with family and friends. We all love to get together, watch fireworks and eat a lot of good food.

In fact, Independence Day is one of the biggest days of the year for the beer, soft drink and snack food industries.

Continue reading Stocks with Ties to Independence Day - Part 3: Dieter's Lament

Dividend Stocks to Plunge 16% Due to Tax Increases?

dividendsIn the year following Bush's dividend tax cuts, the Dow Jones rose 16%. When the tax cuts expire in a few months, will the market drop?

One method of evaluating stocks is that they are worth the present value of all the future cash flows. This can make dividend stocks particularly attractive to investors because they get paid rent or a dividend for holding a company. If conditions change and those future dividends are no longer expected, a stock can suddenly be worth a lot less. This is a large reason why we see stocks drop suddenly at earnings announcements or when companies revise outlooks.

Continue reading Dividend Stocks to Plunge 16% Due to Tax Increases?

Constellation Brands Beats in Q1: Stock a Buy?

Constellation Brands (STZ), a business that produces wines and spirits, is down a little over 1% as I write this during the afternoon session. I'm seeing a quote of $15.43, which places the share price a few bucks below the 52-week high of $18.87.

Back in January, when the company had reported its Q3 numbers, I wasn't too thrilled with the stock as an investment vehicle. Then, in April, Mark Fightmaster gave his opinion on the equity when the Q4 report was released. He didn't seem exactly bullish, either.

Continue reading Constellation Brands Beats in Q1: Stock a Buy?

Serious Money: Buffett Looking Beyond Our Borders

Stories are starting to appear that "my pal Warren" is gearing up for a major foreign acquisition. One of my dear friends Randy S. is taking a post graduate business class at UCLA where this issue is a part of the course. He is supposed to figure out what non US companies Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A/BRK.B), led by Warren Buffett, might be considering for investment.

Ahh yes, the prediction business, quite tricky indeed. Starting with some basics, in most cases I would stick to the time tested philosophy that past performance is not an indicator of future success. That said, I think in the case of Buffett, it does. There are many clues along the trail based on his past performance.

Here are some basic consistencies from the existing portfolio that I would expect to hold true going forward.

Continue reading Serious Money: Buffett Looking Beyond Our Borders

Coca-Cola: You've Got to Look at This One

I'm not an analyst on Wall Street, but I want to give my own personal little upgrade to The Coca-Cola Company (KO). I own the stock, so call me biased. Still, I would find it hard for investors not to see some quantity of merit in my observation.

Well, I can't really say it's my observation, because you've heard this before. In fact, you'll probably groan when I bring up the ubiquitously mentioned "great dividend yield" argument. I know, I know, and I apologize at the outset. Nevertheless, you still may want to consider Coke.

Continue reading Coca-Cola: You've Got to Look at This One

Coca-Cola to Distribute Dr Pepper

Dr Pepper logoMonday morning, Coca-Cola (KO) announced that it will distribute some drinks that are made by Dr Pepper Snapple Group (DPS). Coca-Cola will now distribute Dr Pepper and Canada Dry ginger ale in the United States and will distribute some drinks in Canada.

These beverages were distributed by Coca-Cola Enterprises, but that company is being acquired by Coca-Cola. The new agreement replaces Coca-Cola Enterprise's original deal with Dr Pepper.

Continue reading Coca-Cola to Distribute Dr Pepper

The Timely Ten: Blue Chip Buys from IQ Trends

Chevron CVX logo"Fear is back and it can be seen in the internals. So what is one to do? What we always do: identify quality, establish value, and take advantage of opportunity when it presents itself," suggests Kelley Wright.

The editor of Investment Quality Trends -- an advisory service that assesses blue chip stocks by analyzing their historic dividend yield levels -- adds, "While all ships go out with the tide, value is eventually rewarded. Remember, we are in this for the long haul.

"Our current Timely Ten -- featured below -- is our reasoned expectation based on our methodology and experience for what we believe will perform best over the next five years. Do we believe that all 10 will go up simultaneously or immediately? Of course not.

Continue reading The Timely Ten: Blue Chip Buys from IQ Trends

Avoid Jamba After Q1 Report?

JMBA earningsJamba (JMBA), parent company of Jamba Juice, is a lousy stock. Look at the three-year chart to see what I mean (click on the "three-year" mark once you get there). The one-year chart shows a different story; it actually looks like an interesting stock from that perspective. However, what it says to me is that it is nothing more than a low-priced trading vehicle. No offense, of course. Just stating the facts.

And now, we have an earnings report to consider, one that was released after the bell on Wednesday. For the first quarter, the business lost 13 cents per share versus a loss of 19 cents per share in the year-ago frame. Same-store sales for company-owned locations dropped over 3%.

Continue reading Avoid Jamba After Q1 Report?

Nike Seeks Growth in Emerging Markets -- but Without Swoosh logo?

Nike NKE swoosh logoIn a recent Wall Street Journal interview, top Nike (NKE) executive Mark Parker talked about his ambitious goal to boost global sales 40% by 2015. His strategy? Focus on China, Brazil and India and connect with these emerging markets' emerging middle classes.

And most interesting of all: The company is planning this move under brands that don't bear the trademark swoosh logo.

Continue reading Nike Seeks Growth in Emerging Markets -- but Without Swoosh logo?

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