Netflix (NFLX) looks like a buy. And then again, it looks like a sell. Don't you hate that? Louis Navellier was recently bullish on the movie-rental company. I see his point. But I also see the one-year chart as maybe a reason to take profits at this time. Inarguably, the stock has had a nice run.
A little over a week ago, Wade Hansen discussed the streaming success the company has had and also analyzed the technical prospects for the equity. There's no question that the management team wants to aggressively move its business model forward from physical media to digital delivery. Considering the brand equity in place, I believe the service has a good shot at achieving long-term success.
Some Thoughts on Netflix
If Snooki Can Beat Viacom, Is the Hollywood Business Model in Trouble?
I've been thinking about the whole Jersey Shore zeitgeist. You know the show. It's on Viacom's (VIA) MTV. It's a huge hit, everyone is talking about it and its stars (Snooki, The Situation, etc.). It also was mentioned in a recent conference call the media company had with investors.
It was reported that the cast was able to significantly increase its salary for the reality series. When I first heard about the demands, I mused to myself that this was a grand opportunity for Hollywood to say no to minor celebrities. After all, it's just a reality show, folks. Even though Snooki is immensely popular, there are many more Snooki-type individuals out there. Dime-a-dozen comes to mind when thinking of the goofy girl with the poofy coif.
Continue reading If Snooki Can Beat Viacom, Is the Hollywood Business Model in Trouble?
Disney's Q3 Earnings: Not Bad, but Shareholders Need More
Disney (DIS) reported earnings for the fiscal third quarter after the bell on Tuesday. I've been critical of Disney, especially when it comes to the shareholder-friendly notion of a higher dividend. However, I have to say, I liked the quarter.Net income of 67 cents per share beat the consensus estimate by nine pennies. Furthermore, free cash flow increased 21% in Q3 and jumped 25% during the nine-month period, according to the press release. The individual operating segments did very well, although the theme-parks division did see an 8% decrease in profit. It would be nice to get some positive income from interactive media instead of a loss.
Continue reading Disney's Q3 Earnings: Not Bad, but Shareholders Need More
Chasing Value: Corporate America Hoarding $1.6 Trillion
The Apple (AAPL) iPhone and iPad are all the rage and the demand exceeds the supply. The supply produced in China is where we are sending a lot of our money -- stimulus money.Ongoing discussions about whether the federal government should, or should not start priming the economic pump again with a another $750 billion got me thinking: what happened to the first stimulus money?
The money did not evaporate. It did not go up in smoke, and contrary to popular belief, Congress did not eat it, try as they might. If it still exists then why would the economy need more -- and the debt burden that goes with it?
Continue reading Chasing Value: Corporate America Hoarding $1.6 Trillion
Earnings Preview: Will Disney Make Shareholders Happy?
Disney (DIS) will tell investors how it did during the fiscal third quarter on Tuesday after the market closes for the day. The company will hopefully report some great numbers because, quite frankly, the stock has been somewhat boring this summer; a little fundamental excitement would, at the very least, ease the tedium of the price action.
Net income is expected to be somewhere around 58 cents per share. That's six pennies higher than the previous year's performance. That wouldn't be bad, I suppose, given the economic climate, but I certainly hope that the Mouse has more than a six-penny increase up its sleeve. Back in the second quarter, management was able to beat the estimate.
Continue reading Earnings Preview: Will Disney Make Shareholders Happy?
Viacom Beats in Q2 -- Market Doesn't Care
Viacom's B shares (VIA.B) closed today's session at $33.70. They were down a little less than 1%. Volume was strong. Those who were hoping that the second-quarter earnings report, which was released earlier in the morning, would turn out to be an exciting catalyst were unfortunately disappointed.
The media company, whose colleagues include CBS Corporation (CBS) and The Walt Disney Company (DIS), said it made 69 cents per share this time around versus income of 46 cents per share in the year-ago period. On an adjusted basis, profit from continuing operations was 68 cents per share, which was two pennies ahead of estimates.
News Corp. Reports a Strong Quarter, but Should You Buy the Stock?
News Corp. (NWS), whose rivals include CBS (CBS), Disney (DIS), and General Electric's (GE) NBC Universal, closed Wednesday's session higher by 2.6%, settling out at a price of $15.58. But the stock wasn't done. It continued to rise during extended-hours trading, gaining another 3.5%, enough to put it firmly over the $16 mark. The fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report was met with approval by the market. According to the Associated Press, the business generated 30 cents per share this time around, versus a loss of 8 cents per share in the year-ago period. Advertising strength helped the company's cause. Operational cash flow jumped from $2.2 billion to roughly $3.9 billion over the last twelve months, as detailed in the press release.
Continue reading News Corp. Reports a Strong Quarter, but Should You Buy the Stock?
Time Warner: Stay on the Sidelines After Q2?
Time Warner Inc. (TWX), a media company which competes with The Walt Disney Corporation (DIS) and News Corp. (NWS), among others, has traded in a narrow range over the last twelve months. The 52-week low is $26.43; the 52-week high is $34.07. Shares finished Wednesday's session at a price of $32.47.
Management released Q2 numbers earlier in the day. According to the AP, adjusted profit was 50 cents per share, five pennies better than expectations. Sounds good, but there wasn't much action in the stock. That $32.47 closing price I just referred to represents a flat percentage gain.
Continue reading Time Warner: Stay on the Sidelines After Q2?
CBS: Should You Take a Look After Second-Quarter Earnings?
Have you been thinking about buying CBS (CBS)? It's not too far away from its 52-week high. At the end of Tuesday's regular session, the stock, whose colleagues include Disney (DIS), General Electric's (GE) NBC Universal, and News Corp. (NWS), settled out at a price of $15.01; the high for the year is $16.98. The one-year chart tells an interesting story: The trend over the last twelve months has been up, but lately, there's been a healthy amount of sideways action, which, of course, might not be healthy for growth investors.
Then again, for longer-term investors, at least the shares have been holding up, right? And now we come to the second-quarter report, released Tuesday after the bell. What does it tell us about the situation?
Continue reading CBS: Should You Take a Look After Second-Quarter Earnings?
Netflix: How Does the Stock Look Now?
I wrote about Netflix (NFLX) back in April. At the time, I was very cautious about the stock's prospects. It turned out I was a little too cautious. The stock has risen since my piece was published from about $87 to yesterday's closing price of over $107. Very impressive action. But the stock was even higher not long ago. The 52-week high on the shares is $127.96. When you look at the one-year chart, and the recent dip experienced by the equity, you begin to wonder: is this a buying opportunity? After all, the movie-rental company continues to focus on its pursuit of producing a comprehensive, shareholder-value-increasing digital strategy.
Lions Gate's Downgrade: The Right Call
Lions Gate Entertainment (LGF) was downgraded to a hold rating this week, according to our Analyst Calls piece. It's no longer a buy, says Jefferies, because Carl Icahn's tender offer is now expired.
If you ask me, I'd say it was the right call. I don't think the stock is currently appropriate for most investors simply because the whole struggle between Icahn and management leaves little clarity to the situation. Traders and arbitrage players are probably having a field day, but smaller participants would be entering a highly speculative scenario at this point.
Sex(y) Sells: Abercrombie Bringing Back Controversial Catalog
Ooh la la! Fans of the old-school Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) catalog have something to giggle about. After seven long years, the risque quarterly featuring scantily clad young adults is being reinstated. And even though the catalog is ostensibly just marketing itself -- advertising the clothes that the models are barely wearing -- it will cost you $10 (it is available for pre-order now at the Abercrombie website and will hit shelves July 17). When the recession hit and allowances dried up, ANF suffered even more than most of its peers as teens and young adults offered for similarly trendy fashion at cheaper prices, turning to the Gap's (GPS) Old Navy, Aeropostale (ARO), and American Eagle (AEO) as substitutes. After months of resistance (or denial), ANF finally cut the prices on some items, but it is still facing lackluster sales and revenue numbers. The shares, meanwhile, are down 50% over the last two years.
Continue reading Sex(y) Sells: Abercrombie Bringing Back Controversial Catalog
World Wrestling Entertainment: A Good Stock for Tough Times?
It's tough to buy stocks these days. No one knows when the next drop in the major indexes is going to happen. As many have said, it probably will be a tough summer.
Over the weekend, I was looking through some media articles discussing World Wrestling Entertainment's (WWE) YouTube strategy (you can check out the corporate press release to get more information about the subject). It made me want to examine WWE's current investment potential.
Continue reading World Wrestling Entertainment: A Good Stock for Tough Times?
Viacom Should Not Become Obsessed with YouTube
Viacom (VIA) recently suffered a setback in its war against Google's (GOOG) YouTube. The former's lawsuit centering on copyright infringement by the latter didn't go anywhere in court. Viacom will, of course, appeal.
For those who own Viacom or Google (or both), this is a big deal. At the bottom line, it continues to remind us how painfully difficult it is to make money in the digital age. I don't believe you can completely dismiss Viacom's position. And Google brought up some logical points in its defense. But I doubt either party would disagree with the following statement: it is in the interest of both concerns to figure this thing out. And, in Viacom's case, it may simply be, in some existential respect, to move on.
Continue reading Viacom Should Not Become Obsessed with YouTube
Viacom's Dividend: Does This Mean Growth Is Over?
Here's a media flash for you from DailyFinance: Viacom, Inc. (VIA) will be distributing its first dividend ever. The company will also be resuming its stock buyback. While the latter is cool, I think the bigger story here for shareholders is the dividend. The first quarterly payment is set at 15 cents per share. You know, you've got to ask yourself if this is a good thing or a bad thing. In general, dividends are an awesome part of the investing experience. I love them, and I wrote a positive piece on the recent news surrounding Target Corporation's (TGT) payout this afternoon. Being rewarded for holding a stock is not something to be taken lightly.
Continue reading Viacom's Dividend: Does This Mean Growth Is Over?
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