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TiVo Records Another Loss in Q1

Tivo Q1 lossTiVo (TIVO), an expert in digital-video recording, closed Tuesday's regular session at $9.15. It was up over 1%. Sure, that sounds swell when juxtaposed with Tuesday's market action. It does nothing, however, to make me like the stock.

The 52-week low for the shares is $6.41. The 52-week high is $18.93. The one-year chart is ... not appealing. You've got a big spike in buying interest near the right side, preceded by sideways action. Then, a nasty plunge. How can you possibly comprehend this technical situation? It's difficult at best, and I'm not going to pretend I know where the stock is heading.

Continue reading TiVo Records Another Loss in Q1

Should Disney Have Charged for the 'Lost' Finale?

Shareholders of Disney (DIS) are looking forward to a little boost this

Sunday. The television series Lost is coming to an end, and there is a lot of celebratory buzz surrounding the send-off. I've never really sat down to watch the show (at least, not an entire episode all the way through), but I actually may watch the last moments of the final episode in the quizzical universe. Yes, the buzz has apparently sucked me in, too.

Yet, I have a thought to propose to the media industry: Should Disney charge viewers to see the finale?

Continue reading Should Disney Have Charged for the 'Lost' Finale?

CBS: Better Income, Cash Flow in Q1

CBS (CBS), the famous broadcaster whose competitors include Disney (DIS), General Electric's (GE) NBC Universal, and News Corp. (NWS), reported Q1 earnings after the bell on Wednesday. This afternoon, the stock is firmly in the red: at the time of this writing, shares were down over 4% to $14.93. Below $15, can you believe it? Volume is very strong with more than two hours to go before the close of regular activities, so by the time this is published, volume might end up being quite impressive.

The 52-week high on the stock is $16.98. The market has been discounting better times ahead for the company, as the following one-year chart seems to indicate.

Continue reading CBS: Better Income, Cash Flow in Q1

The Internet: Enemy of Newspapers, But the Friend of T.V. (So Far)

The internet, the enemy of print newspapers, is, conversely, the friend of television, at least initially in the digital age.

The phenomenon, The New York Times (NYT) reported Wednesday, has to do with the promotional effect that the internet's social dimension has created for television. Specifically, the recent explosive growth and popularity of Facebook (with an astounding 400 million users), has created a new, de-facto 'office water-cooler chat' for television.

Continue reading The Internet: Enemy of Newspapers, But the Friend of T.V. (So Far)

CBS Increases Adjusted Profit in Q4, Cash Flow Down for the Year

CBS (CBS) posted Q4 figures Thursday after the bell. The broadcaster, which competes with Disney's (DIS) ABC, General Electric's (GE) NBC, and News Corp.'s (NWS) Fox, said it made 25 cents per share on an adjusted basis. The growth rate wasn't bad at 19%, but unfortunately, expectations were only met. I know, meeting expectations isn't necessarily the worst thing in the world, but let's remember how the analyst game operates: beating estimates is all that matters.

But meeting expectations wasn't the most disappointing part of the story -- far from it. Instead, the flat top line and the decline in cash flow were more relevant elements. Net cash from operations for all of 2009 was a little under $940 million. There was over $2.1 billion generated from operations in 2008.

Continue reading CBS Increases Adjusted Profit in Q4, Cash Flow Down for the Year

Is the Free Ride Over at Hulu?

Ahhh, Hulu. That wonderful destination where I can re-acquaint myself with my favorite Justin-Timberlake-on-SNL moments, catch up on episodes of Greek, and search for those old Silver Spoons clips I remember so fondly. The two-year-old website is a joint venture between Walt Disney's (DIS) ABC Network, General Electric's (GE) NBC Universal division, and News Corp.'s (NWS) FOX Entertainment Group, and is partially funded by Providence Equity Partners.

But just as online news readers may soon be charged to access The New York Times online, we may have to open our wallets for certain corners of the Hulu universe (they will likely still let me watch Silver Spoons for free).

Continue reading Is the Free Ride Over at Hulu?

Conan O'Brien to Receive $40 Million to Walk Away from NBC

Conan O'Brien is to receive $40 million dollars to walk away from NBC. O'Brien's agreement would bar him from bad mouthing his NBC bosses.

There has been a two week battle between NBC and O'Brien over the network's plan to move the comedian to a later 12:00 am time slot. Part of the plan is to reinstate Jay Leno in his old time slot at 11:30 p.m. which he has held for 17 years.

Continue reading Conan O'Brien to Receive $40 Million to Walk Away from NBC

Winter Olympics Will Lose Money for NBC

Rough few days for NBC, right? First, you have the whole Jay Leno prime-time disaster (which many experts and nonexperts saw coming); now you have yesterday's revelation from Dick Ebersol (chairman of NBC's sports division) that the Winter Olympics from Vancouver will actually lose money for NBC.

Ebersol noted that the cost of the broadcast rights for the games will exceed the company's advertising sales. Advertising sales slumped in the middle of 2009 and, although sales have picked up in the past four months, NBC is going to lose money thanks to the economic slowdown.

Continue reading Winter Olympics Will Lose Money for NBC

The Leno/O'Brien Puzzle: What Should NBC Do?

NBC Universal, which recently was the subject of a proposed transaction between General Electric (GE) and Comcast (CMCSA), is having a serious problem with The Jay Leno Show. It's not performing well in the ratings. But wait, there's more, as a typical infomercial narrator might intone: The Tonight Show isn't faring any better under the aegis of Conan O'Brien.

Worse, the issues with the 10 PM Leno programming asset go beyond just his ratings. The show is exerting a negative halo effect over the local newscasts. If you don't have a strong lead-in, then the content that follows will suffer.

Continue reading The Leno/O'Brien Puzzle: What Should NBC Do?

Will a New Storyline Bolster WWE's Fortunes?

World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE) is a fun stock to keep tabs on. Not only is it linked to some crazy (and I mean that in a good way) content, but it sports one heck of a yield. As of this writing, WWE is yielding over 9%. Pretty cool, huh?

Yet, at the same time, investors worry over the company's programming. They have to; WWE lives and breathes by the excitement quotient of its various plots and skirmishes. Wall Street wants to see the ratings go as high as possible, and for that to happen, WWE has to deliver.

Continue reading Will a New Storyline Bolster WWE's Fortunes?

Corning (GLW) CFO touts LCD demand

GLW logoCorning (GLW - option chain) shares are rising today after the company's CFO Jim Flaws said in an interview on CNBC last night that demand for LCD panels used in flat-panel televisions and netbooks has been "outstanding." He added that GLW's customers have seen a "surge in LCD television demand." If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on GLW.

GLW opened this morning at $19.02. So far today the stock has hit a high of $19.32 and as of 11:50 is trading near its low of the day at $18.91 up 6 cents(0.3%). The chart for GLW looks bullish and S&P gives GLW a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy ranking.

Continue reading Corning (GLW) CFO touts LCD demand

Oprah to pull the plug in 2011

Oprah Winfrey Oprah Winfrey, arguably the most powerful woman in entertainment (if not the world in general), is preparing to pack her luxurious bags. She's announced that in 2011, after a quarter-century of favorite things and heartfelt interviews, "The Oprah Winfrey Show" will be no more. The last program is scheduled for Sept. 9, 2011. One can only imagine who might be her guests.

In syndication across the country, Oprah's eponymous program is the top-rated U.S. daytime show (take that, Days of Our Lives!), with an average viewership of 7.1 million this year.

While not entirely unexpected, the news is likely a bit of a blow to CBS Corporation (CBS), as its CBS Television Distribution arm syndicates the program. Additionally, Walt Disney (DIS) might feel the sting of an Oprah departure as Disney-owned ABC is the primary network that airs the show. And will it impact O, Oprah's monthly magazine published by the Heart Corporation? To say nothing of all of the manic women in the audience who long for a chance at one of Oprah's favorite things.

Continue reading Oprah to pull the plug in 2011

CBS challenged in Q3, waiting for better advertising climate

Shares of CBS (NYSE: CBS) are no longer rolling around in the pits of equity hell. Do you recall when they were trading around $3 per share? Nasty time it was. Amazingly, as I write this, CBS is hovering near a 52-week high. The stock is well over $12 in value.

Yet, when I look at the latest earnings report, I don't feel as upbeat as the market. According to the press release (the link goes to a .pdf file), revenues were flat for the third quarter and adjusted income dropped to 25 cents per share from the year-ago figure of 39 cents per share.

Continue reading CBS challenged in Q3, waiting for better advertising climate

Lou Dobbs to Fox Business? Roger Ailes hopes so

Fox is hoping to beef up its roster of talent for its up and coming (although currently widely mocked) Fox Business Network.

And who are they hoping to add? None other than CNN's Lou Dobbs. According to The New York Times, citing "two people with direct knowledge of the meeting", Mr. Dobbs met for dinner with Fox News president Roger Ailes.

Continue reading Lou Dobbs to Fox Business? Roger Ailes hopes so

Should GE shareholders be happy about 'The Jay Leno Show'?

Last year, I composed a not-so-bullish appraisal of NBC Universal's Jay Leno strategy. NBC Universal, which General Electric (NYSE: GE) has an 80% stake in, wanted to make sure that Leno's services did not wind up in the hands of a competing media entity when they handed The Tonight Show over to Conan O'Brien, so they bestowed upon him a talk program to be aired weeknights at 10 PM. It debuts tonight. I basically argued that NBC would survive without Leno, and that such an odd programming choice at 10 PM, when scripted intellectual assets are usually broadcast, might not be the optimal paradigm to engage.

Well, I still feel this is a risky move, but I do have to say that an article by Scott Collins over at the Los Angeles Times has piqued my interest in the expected economical benefit that Leno-at-10 might imply. Leno might not bring in a ton of eyeballs, but his profit margin could be acceptable given the lower capital necessary to fund his extravaganza.

Continue reading Should GE shareholders be happy about 'The Jay Leno Show'?

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