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Chasing Value: Ross Stores Update, Great Then and Now

Last January I suggested that shares of Ross Stores (ROST) might be as much of a bargain as the merchandise it sells. That turned out to be true. The stock has outpaced the market considerably. At the time, it was trading at $45.20. Last week, on Sept. 3, Ross closed at $52.60 for a year-to-date gain of 16.37%.

Ross pays a small dividend yielding 1.12%. It is not high, but it exceeds what you're getting from money market accounts or CDs and, added to the stocks appreciating, it's a bonus.

After this nice gain, how do the metrics shape up today? Is it too late to make some money here?

Continue reading Chasing Value: Ross Stores Update, Great Then and Now

Big Lots Earnings Show Growth -- What About the Stock?

Big Lots (BIG) has had something of a tough time after peaking in April. The one-year chart is a sad graphic for shareholders to look at. As can be seen, the stock, which had previously displayed a significant amount of strength, is now in retreat mode. The attacking bears on Wall Street can be a scary force, to be sure.

On Tuesday, shares of the retailer were off by 2.8%; at the end of the session, they settled at $30.86. That's still far off from the 52-week low of $23.04.

Continue reading Big Lots Earnings Show Growth -- What About the Stock?

Target Rises on Q2 Earnings News

Target (TGT)Target (TGT) ended Wednesday's session in the green after second-quarter numbers were digested by the market. The shares closed higher by 2.5%, settling at a quote of $51.95. Volume was heavy.

That's technically a positive sign, but I should point out that we're in a tough environment. You can't trust any gain if you're a trader. If you happened to buy the retailer for a quick move before earnings were released, I hope you got out Wednesday, because once the thesis is realized, it's best to book profits and wait for another entry point.

Continue reading Target Rises on Q2 Earnings News

Analyst Calls: AGU, BHI, CP, GOOG, HUM, MOS, MSFT, TGT, VAL, YHOO ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • GC Financial upgraded Microsoft (MSFT) to buy from hold, citing expectations that the company will raise its quarterly dividend by 15%. The firm upped its target for shares to $30 from $29.
  • JPMorgan upgraded Agrium (AGU) to overweight from neutral, citing valuation and strengthening agricultural fundamentals. The firm raised its target for shares to $75 from $70. Note JPMorgan downgraded Mosaic (MOS) this morning to neutral from overweight.
  • Susquehanna upgraded Baker Hughes (BHI) to positive from neutral based on valuation. The firm has a $53 target on the stock.
  • Target (TGT) was upgraded to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
  • CF Industries (CF) was upgraded to conviction buy from neutral at Goldman.
  • Portugal Telecom (PT) was upgraded to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: AGU, BHI, CP, GOOG, HUM, MOS, MSFT, TGT, VAL, YHOO ...

Target's Dividend Increase Is a Positive on the Stock

I love dividend increases. Some are more meaningful than others. Yesterday's upward alteration of Target's (TGT) quarterly payment was pretty notable, although it's not necessarily doing much for the stock.

According to the corporate press release, the new dividend is 47% higher than the previous one. Investors in the retailer will now receive 25 cents per share every three months, translating into an annual payout of $1 per share. Interestingly enough, the stock concluded Thursday's session on a flat note, as our Closing Bell piece indicates. And today, the stock is higher by a little over 1% to $52.97 with roughly three hours to go before the final trade.

Continue reading Target's Dividend Increase Is a Positive on the Stock

Closing Bell: A Curve Ball Day (BP, RMBS, TIVO, TGT, TLAB, WEN)

Today's gains were wiped out in the afternoon after the weakening Euro again spooked investors. The Fed's Beige Book also was 'steady as she goes' but did contain the note that inventory investing from companies was declining, and that showed some added concern that businesses weren't as optimistic as some may have hoped. The real closing bell was yet another day where the verdict of an up-day or down-day was not certain until the very end.

Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 9,899.25 -40.73 (-0.41%)
S&P 500 1,055.65 -6.35 (-0.60%)
Nasdaq 2,158.85 -11.72 (-0.54%)

Top Analyst Calls

Continue reading Closing Bell: A Curve Ball Day (BP, RMBS, TIVO, TGT, TLAB, WEN)

Talbots Enjoys a First-Quarter Profit, but It Doesn't Help the Stock

Talbots TLB logoTalbots (TLB) was enjoying a nice uptrend for much of the past year. Then, economic troubles appeared in Europe, and the bears came clawing their way to Wall Street to ruin the rally. Like many other stocks, Talbots got hit. And on Tuesday, it closed down 9.5% to $12.20. The 52-week high on the shares is $17.79.

During the fourth quarter, the retailer beat estimates by a wide margin. This time around, it's more of the same. According to Reuters, adjusted profit from continuing operations calculated out to 38 cents per share, much higher than the call of 16 cents per share (and much better than the adjusted loss of 23 cents per share from continuing operations in the year-ago period).

Continue reading Talbots Enjoys a First-Quarter Profit, but It Doesn't Help the Stock

Could Walmart Be a Defensive Play?

Walmart WMT logoWalmart (WMT) is a big-cap, blue-chip business in retail, one that competes with Sears Holdings (SHLD) and Target (TGT), among others. It's generally considered one of the safer, although considerably more boring, names in the universe of equities. However, could it be a defensive play in this economy?

Difficult to say for certain. As I've said before, I don't care what stock you hold in your portfolio, it'll go down if the markets become very choppy, defensive reputation or not. And Walmart isn't necessarily the first idea you think of when you think defensive. Usually, you might come up with a Coca-Cola (KO) or a Kraft (KFT) ... something with food involved, something that sells products consumers use and need every single day and can buy at multiple locations, not just at one single shopping source.

Continue reading Could Walmart Be a Defensive Play?

Macy's Gets an Upgrade

According to this item, Macy's, Inc. (M), a retailer whose colleagues include The Gap Inc. (GPS) and Kohl's Corporation (KSS), received a gift today from Morgan Stanley in the form of an upgrade. The shares have been moved up to the overweight designation. Looks like good things may be in store for the chain.

I recently discussed Macy's Q1 earnings. Now, if you check that piece out, you'll see that I'm not a fan of buying the company to hold for years. If I wanted to do that, I would go with something like Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (WMT), maybe Target Corporation (TGT).

Continue reading Macy's Gets an Upgrade

Is Big Lots a Buy After Q1?

Big Lots, Inc. (BIG) has been moving higher over the last twelve months. The chart looks relatively nice. But do you want to buy now? There's been so much bearish sentiment that it's hard to tell if the moment is right for this or any stock.

At the time of this writing, the stock was trading down over 2% to $35.17 during the afternoon session. The 52-week high is $41.42. According to TheFly, Global Hunter Securities believes the company is worth a better price target; the institution's research indicates that the shares could reach $43, two dollars higher than the previous target.

Continue reading Is Big Lots a Buy After Q1?

Earnings Highlights: Dell, Gap, GM, Home Depot, HP, Sears, Target, Walmart ...

Below are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage on BloggingStocks. Click through to the original posts for more details.

  • Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) shares sold off after it posted a narrower Q1 net loss, but same-store sales rose.
  • Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) swung from a year-ago loss to a Q2 profit that was better than expected.
  • Deere & Co. (DE) reported better-than-expected Q2 earnings and improved sales, and raised its full-year outlook.
  • Dell Inc. (DELL) posted better-than-expected Q1 earnings, but the gross margin was disappointing, and shares fell.
  • GameStop Corp. (GME) higher Q1 earnings beat consensus estimates but same-store sales declined.
  • Gap Inc. (GPS) said its higher Q1 earnings beat expectations while revenue fell in line with estimates.

Continue reading Earnings Highlights: Dell, Gap, GM, Home Depot, HP, Sears, Target, Walmart ...

Are You Brave Enough to Buy GameStop Stock?

Oh, GameStop (GME) is one tough stock for me to look at, let me tell you. Earlier in the year, I took a lousy loss on it, only to see the shares rebound. After the rebound, they started to go down again. And now, with international issues destroying the markets, there's added confusion following the release of the company's first-quarter report.

The chart, as they say, says it all. Over the last twelve months, the stock has confounded the traders (well, maybe I should just speak for myself and say it's confounded me). There's been no solid direction to the shares as players attempt to figure out exactly where the business model is going. Can it withstand the threat of games-by-download? Can it compete with the casual titles people play on mobile platforms? And what about Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY), Target Corporation (TGT), and Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (WMT)? They want their share of the industry, too. As an example, Wal-Mart wants to engage used entertainment software.

Continue reading Are You Brave Enough to Buy GameStop Stock?

Retail Rivals: Is Target or Wal-Mart a Better Buy?

We heard from some of the biggest names in retail recently when Target (TGT) and Wal-Mart (WMT) reported earnings. Now that the numbers are in, investors can take a hard look and decide once and for all which company is a better fit for their portfolio – the "cheap chic" store or its larger and less polished rival.

While both retailers reported solid year-over-year profit increases, there's clearly one company on target, and one that's hit the wall. (Yes, those puns are intended).

Continue reading Retail Rivals: Is Target or Wal-Mart a Better Buy?

Closing Bell: Bad Was Just Less Bad (GS, TGT, GS, IMOS)

Today was an odd trading day. Europe took us down yesterday, then the same news took us down today after the E.U. markets dipped down about 2% when our markets were opening. A low CPI offered solid help in theory, but inflation data is not really pertinent after a $15 drop in oil over the last month. Then came a more confident FOMC from the minutes of the April-end FOMC meeting. Markets were still soft at the end of the trading day, but the triple-digit losses were less extreme by the end of the trading day.

Dow 10,444.37 -66.58 (-0.63%)
S&P 500 1,115.05 -5.75 (-0.51%)
Nasdaq 2,298.37 -18.89 (-0.82%)

Top Analyst Upgrades/Downgrades

Continue reading Closing Bell: Bad Was Just Less Bad (GS, TGT, GS, IMOS)

TJX: Buy or Sell After Q1?

The TJX Companies (TJX) is down almost 4% in afternoon trading with about an hour to go before the session ends. The chain, which competes with Kohl's (NYSE: KSS) and Target (TGT), issued Q1 results earlier today. Were they that bad?

I didn't think so. According to the press release, earnings per share increased over 60% to 80 cents. In addition, same-store sales rose 9%. Reuters says that analysts were expecting 78 cents per share. So, management did pretty well on that count.

Continue reading TJX: Buy or Sell After Q1?

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