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What's next for Take-Two?

Those who were banking on Electronic Arts Inc. doing whatever it took to get a deal with Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. are in pain Monday after negotiations between the two game makers ended over the weekend.

Analysts, meanwhile, were left trying to figure out why the deal didn't happen, and what's next for Take-Two. There weren't too many answers to the first question, other than the pretty obvious conclusion that Take-Two wanted more money than EA was willing to pay, but plenty of guesses about the second.

Wedbush Morgan Securities analyst Michael Pachter in a research note Monday said that despite strong third-quarter results, the company's balance sheet foreshadows a "reversal of fortune" in 2009. Specifically, the analyst said Take-Two's cash reserves are significantly lower than its peers, as a percentage of its trailing six months of publishing revenues.

Continue reading at TechConfidential.com.

Garbage Wars: Waste Management vs. Republic vs. Allied

Waste Management, Inc. (NYSE:WMI) is switching around the merger game in the garbage and trash collection sector. The company has announced today that it has made a proposal to Republic Services, Inc.(NYSE: RSG) to acquire Republic for $34.00 per common share in cash.

The company said that its proposal represents a premium of approximately 22% over the closing price of Republic stock from before the offer was submitted. Waste management believes that its all-cash proposal offers a better value to Republic stockholders than the recently announced Republic-Allied Waste Industries, Inc. (NYSE: AW) transaction.

The company said its board is committed to maintaining an investment grade status and is committed to continuing its annual dividend of $1.08 per share.

Waste Management noted that the Republic-Allied merger agreement expressly contemplates alternative proposals from third parties and defines a process for Republic to respond to those proposals.

The company believes that a transaction with Republic would close early in 2009. Waste Management also noted that it believes all of the financing needed to complete the transaction will be available on satisfactory terms believes it will maintain its investment grade status on a combined basis.

You could imagine that this would definitely run into antitrust issues and would definitely require certain divestitures.

U.S. assets remain cheap and inviting targets

With the markets in a swoon, marquee assets are on sale in the US. And with the drop in the dollar, the valuations look even more compelling. Something else: the surge in commodities, especially in oil, is bulging the assets in mega sovereign wealth funds.

Even US icons are under attack, such as Anheuser-Busch Companies Inc. (NYSE: BUD), which is fending off a hostile takeover from Belgium's InBev.

True, there is some good news. For example, our domestic companies will have an edge with exports (it seems that this has saved us from a recession -- at least so far). But, alas, it is little consolation.

Perhaps the most effective way to boost the value of the dollar is to increase interest rates. However, this will be a tough thing to do in light of the upcoming election, the housing sump and continued economic weakness.

In other words, US assets should remain cheap. And foreign buyers can't ignore this. So, it's a good bet that we'll see more and more dealmaking from overseas.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

APP/Fresenius: E.U. Gets another U.S. drug player with cheap dollar$

APP Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: APPX) is one of the more active pre-market stocks today. The surge in trading this morning is the result of an overseas buyout for some $23.00 cash per share, although shares are trading north of $23.00 because there are earn-out clauses could generate further premiums in the future.

German health-care giant Fresenius has agreed to acquire APP for $23.00 per share in a cash acquisition, and there is an earn-out option that would enable holders to receive up to an additional $6.00 per share if APP's financial results meet certain targets. The term may go out until 2011 for the extra cash, so this won't occur overnight.

This gives an implied merger price of about $3.7 billion up to $4.6 billion. So depending upon the earn-out and performance clause, investors will get either a 29% premium, or they will receive a buyout that could be as mush as 63% over the life of that term.

Continue reading at BioHealthInvestor.com for on the fly analysis, direction, and ramifications. You can also see how the unusual volume may continue after seeing the data at VSInvestor.com for the volume spike effect.

Penn looks better off after merger called off

Almost everyone thought of the Penn National Gaming Inc. (NASDAQ: PENN) private equity LBO merger as dead money for quite some time. It only officially became a dead merger this morning. This was the last of the big multi-billion deals still officially on the books that was put together back before we had a full blown credit crunch.

PNG Acquisition Company Inc. was the buyout entity, which was indirectly owned by certain funds managed by affiliates of Fortress Investment Group LLC (NYSE: FIG) and Centerbridge Partners, L.P.

The buyout price of $67.00 per share was older than Methusela. Since January, this stock slid steadily from over $60.00 down to under $30.00. The deal was a known to be dead by everyone. But there is actually a silver lining here for the company. Penn National will get $1.475 Billion in cash out of this.

Affiliates of Fortress, affiliates of Centerbridge, affiliates of Wachovia, and affiliates of Deutsche Bank will all be holders of those notes. To top it off, Fortress Investment Group's Chairman & CEO, Wesley Edens, will join the Penn National Gaming Board of Directors.

Keep reading for on the fly analysis, guidance, and ramifications at 247wallst.com.

Private Equity heads further into insurance investing

There is a rather interesting deal out there that can be viewed as a glass half-full or glass half-empty depending on whether or not you are from the private equity side or from a public company.

Fiserv Inc. (NASDAQ: FISV) has announced a rather interesting move this morning. It is selling a majority interest in its insurance business operations for some $510 million in equity and debt to Trident IV, a private equity fund managed by Stone Point Capital LLC.

The company has announced that it will turn around and repurchase up to 10 million shares of common stock in a repurchase program.

You can continue reading for the full details, on the fly analysis, and ramifications at 247Wallst.com.

Progress & IONA: Cross-border IT merger

It looks like we have another small information technology merger taking place this morning. This is a US company acquiring an Irish company.

Progress Software Corporation (NASDAQ: PRGS) has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire IONA Technologies plc (NASDAQ: IONA) in a cash buyout of $162 million and approximately $106 million net of cash and marketable securities reported on March 31, 2008. This will bring a cash buyout price of $4.05 per share for IONA holders.

The offer price per share is approximately 16% over the average price for IONA shares over the six months prior to the offer period announced by IONA on February 8, 2008. Unfortunately, the 52-week trading range is $2.01 to $6.28.

So far, IONA shares are trading up 9.4% at $3.94 and Progress shares are up less than 1% at $25.46 in the first ten minutes of trading.

IONA Technologies' board of directors unanimously approved the merger and each IONA Technologies director has entered into an agreement to vote in favor of the transaction. The merger is subject to regulatory approval in teh US and in Ireland and is also subject to IONA shareholder approval.

Progress Software is a global supplier of application infrastructure software used to develop, deploy, integrate and manage business applications. IONA Tech is an established supplier of software integration technology. The companies have both signed a definitive agreement to further the merger. IONA is based in Dublin, Ireland, so it looks like we have yet another cross-border tech and IT merger.

Hexion terminates merger with Huntsman

Huntsman Corp. (NYSE: HUN) is seeing the value of its stock destroyed in after-hours trading. This was one of those pending mergers that was old enough that many had forgotten it was even on the docket. Hexion Specialty Chemicals has announced that it has filed suit in Delaware to exit its contractual obligations to acquire the company.

The Hexion-led filed to terminate its proposed $10.6 Billion acquisition of Huntsman Corp. Hexion has said in this suit filed that it believes that the capital structure agreed to by both Huntsman and by Hexion for the combined company is no longer viable.

The reasons noted are because of Huntsman's increased net debt and its lower than expected earnings. Hexion notes that both companies are individually solvent but it believes that the merger's capital structure previously agreed to would render the combined company insolvent.

Keep reading at 247WallSt.com for the rest of the details and analysis.

Blackstone's GSO dives into distressed debt investing

Early this year, The Blackstone Group LP (NYSE: BX) agreed to purchase GSO Capital Partners, a hedge fund that focuses on leveraged finance, for a cool $930 million. Stephen A. Schwarzman, Blackstone's CEO, said that the deal would create "one of the largest credit platforms in the alternative asset management business." Yes, it's an attractive space, especially in light of the credit crunch.

Moreover, Blackstone isn't wasting time in leveraging the GSO platform. According to a report in Bloomberg, it looks like it is raising a new fund that is focused on distressed debt.

True, there hasn't been a surge in defaults and bankruptcies, but such things usually have lag times, and if the economy remains sluggish, there are likely to be many distressed opportunities.

However, the distressed investment market is getting crowded. Some of the recent players include the Carlyle Group and Oaktree Capital Management. In fact, Monarch Alternative Capital and Cerberus Capital Management LP are in the market raising their own distressed funds.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

Can private equity revive Michael Jackson?

Leave it to private equity to try to bring back Michael Jackson.

The Wall Street Journal recently reported that "Colony Capital, which owns the Las Vegas Hilton and is a major shareholder in closely held Station Casinos, is in discussions with Mr. Jackson to get him back onstage and in the spotlight via a long-term stand in Las Vegas."

Colony Capital may just have the leverage to get something done with Mr. Jackson: he owes them $25 million after the firm acquired the debt from Fortress Investment Group.

The plan is to try to revive Jackson's career with a stint in Las Vegas and, eventually, build a Thriller-themed hotel-casino there. I'm not so sure. Las Vegas has resuscitated -- or at least prolonged -- the careers of a lot of entertainers, but it's hard to think of anyone who carries as much baggage as Michael Jackson.

Similarly, a private equity firm might be able to turn around a struggling brand but, to my knowledge, the industry has never attempted to work its magic on a brand that a large percentage of Americans believe has molested children (with the possible exception of Chrysler). And legal system be darned, that's what many people associate him with.

Landry's ultimately goes to Fertitta

Landry's Restaurants, Inc. (NYSE: LNY) has announced that it has entered into a definitive agreement with Fertitta Holdings, Inc.

Fertitta has agreed to acquire all outstanding common stock for $21.00 per share in cash. This represents a premium of approximately 37% over the closing share price of the company's common stock on April 3, 2008. This was the last day before disclosure of the revised offer made by Mr. Fertitta to acquire the company. The total value of the transaction is approximately $1.3 billion, which includes approximately $885 million of debt.

Fertitta is a newly formed entity wholly owned by the company's Chairman, President, CEO and original founder, Tilman J. Fertitta. Mr. Fertitta beneficially owns approximately 39% of the Company's outstanding shares of common stock.

Continue reading the implications and analysis at 247WallSt.com.

Time Warner walking away from Weather Channel bidding?

A fresh report out of Reuters is saying that Time Warner Inc. (NYSE: TWX) has withdrawn from the bidding process to acquire The Weather Channel due to price. The deadlines on this were supposed to be noon today.

Recent reports put Landmark Communications, the owner of the Weather Channel, was in direct talks with Time Warner and a rival group made up of General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE) NBC Universal, The Blackstone Group, L.P. (NYSE: BX) and Bain Capital.

Because this is a private transaction and because this is such a large deal for the ultimate buyer(s) and sellers, this one has been a hard one to follow with any credible or dead set numbers and terms.

This is an ongoing and developing story with an outcome that is not yet known. Stay tuned.

Invitrogen spreads wings with Applied Biosystems acquisition

Invitrogen Corp. (NASDAQ: IVGN) has announced a $6.7 billion cash and stock acquisition for Applera's Applied Biosystems Group (NYSE: ABI). The breakdown is 45% percent in cash and 55% in stock.

Invitrogen Corp. will pay $38.00 per share between the cash and stock, compared to yesterday's close of $32.44 and compared to the $37.67 52-week high. After the deal closes, it sees fiscal and calendar year 2009 organic revenue growth in the mid-single digits.

The company says that the combined operations will have annual sales of $3.5 billion and is expected to be neutral to slightly accretive to Invitrogen's earnings per share the first year after close and significantly accretive in year two.

Continue reading the terms and condition implications at BioHealthInvestor.com.

Despite current woes, private equity funds still outperform

State Street Corporation (NYSE: STT) has a report out showing various 2007 private equity returns. While the numbers are backward looking and do not indicate anything for tomorrow, the numbers are still staggering considering all of the problems that started hitting private equity firms last year.

The State Street Private Equity Index posted its returns for the index date December 31, 2007 and it still shows a long-term return that is higher than the traditional equity markets.

The index is based on the latest quarterly statistics from State Street Investment Analytics' Private Edge Group. It is a detailed analysis of private equity investments for a diverse client base covering public and private pensions, endowments and foundations, representing more than 4,000 commitments totaling more than $160 billion.

Continue reading the full report at 247WallSt.com.

Tribune stuck with Wrigley Field & Cubs for now

If you are Sam Zell right now, you are probably sitting there wondering why on earth as an old billionaire that you thought an old world media property with very little in new media that you'd have to shrink and break apart to profitability was such a good idea. Tonight, that looks even more so the case.

According to MLB.com Tribune Co. rejected a no-tax proposal in the sale of Wrigley Field to the Illinois Sports facilities Authority, which also owns and operates the Chicago White Sox U.S. Cellular Field as well.

If you read the full article you'll see how this may also impact the sale of the Chicago Cubs as well. Zell announced in April 2007 that the Cubbies were to be sold. Interestingly enough, the Cubs are also in first place in the NL Central division.

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