bloggingbuyouts

As layoffs have spread across banking, investment banks and hedge funds, things have been fairly quiet for private equity firms. Then again, these operators tend to have small employee bases.

But, interestingly enough, we may be finally seeing some pink slips for the private equity folks. According to The Wall Street Journal, 3i will announce a 15% cut in its staff and that there will be a 19% cut at American Capital.

And now it looks like the tier-1 firms are not immune. The Carlyle Group is gutting 10% of its staff this week (which comes to about 100 people). There's not much deal-making to do right now. Besides, it looks like it will be tougher for private equity firms to raise new capital. If anything, the focus will be on trying to manage the existing portfolios.

What's more, Carlyle has had a variety of blunders. There was the implosion of its mortgage fund (Carlyle Capital) and the recent bankruptcy of its Hawaiian Telecom holding.

Of course, Carlyle is not alone. So, it's a good bet we'll start seeing more layoffs in the private equity world.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Streetsmart Guide to Short Selling: Techniques the Pros Use to Profit in Any Market. He is also the founder of BizEquity, a valuation website.

Lost in the flurry of activity over the weekend surrounding The Bear Stearns Companies (NYSE: BSC) is this morning's news that Carlyle Capital, the subsidiary of the Washington-based private equity king Carlyle Group, is 'winding up.' MarketWatch reports that Carlyle Capital, 15% of which is owned by Carlyle Group partners, has more liabilities than assets.

It is interesting that Carlyle can't utter the word 'bankrupt' -- instead preferring the innocuous-sounding term: 'winding up.' But Carlyle shareholders will be left with nothing. And, as I posted, since Carlyle borrowed $32 for every dollar of equity, or $16.6 billion, to buy mortgage-backed securities (MBS), the banks who take possession of those MBSs will probably be eager to dump them as fast as possible -- unless they think they will get a better deal by waiting.

But why wait? After all, the Fed lent $30 billion to JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) on a non-recourse basis to take over Bear Stearns's MBSs. This means that if Bear's MBSs go bad, the Fed will take the hit. Is there any active market at all right now for MBSs? If so, should the Fed just dump Bear's MBSs and take the hit now? Won't Carlyle Capital's banks do the same? And who will step in to buy all these MBSs? At what price?

Where does this all end?

Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He has no financial interest in the securities mentioned.

There have been so many stories in the news lately pointing to a downturn in the private equity boom that I worry about getting repetitive in covering them. But here's a new one for today: Carlyle Capital, a fund being floated by the famed Carlyle Group, confirmed that it will price shares at around $19, down from the previously announced range of $20-$22.

Carlyle hopes to raise about $300 million on the Euronext to invest in products including residential mortgage-backed securities and corporate loans.

The unimpressive demand can be attributed to continuing concerns about the lending market, but I also suspect that investors just aren't finding the big private equity firms as exciting as they did, say, six months ago. Shares of The Blackstone Group (NYSE: BX) have performed poorly since their debut last Friday, hitting a new all-time low today of $28.75, and finishing the day at $29.27, down 1.41%.

There have been continuous rumors that other private equity firms were mulling IPOs but given the lackluster IPOs thus far, it seems likely that the talk could start to die down. On the other hand, some insiders may want to cash out before more investors turn against them.