bloggingbuyouts

The WSJ has confirmed that UAL Corp. (NASDAQ: UAUA) and US Airways Group Inc. (NYSE: LCC) have broken off merger talks. The CEOs of both companies have noted that they believe in consolidation, but $130 oil is making the companies look at other more attractive options.

Both companies have left the door open to mergers down the road, but for now talks are off.

What is perhaps most important here is the implication for the airline industry. JetBlue Airways Corporation (NYSE: JBLU) is also seeing shares under pressure since it just raised $175 million in convertible notes.

Perhaps if the airlines want to look at deals, perhaps they should buy small oil drillers and producers to cut out all the middlemen. But that's not likely to happen.

We're all going to be facing significantly higher airline ticket prices and more individual charges that will feel like nickel and dime strategies.

Unfortunately in the world of airline mergers, 1+1=1.

Reports are that the heated merger talks between United (NASDAQ: UAUA) and US Air (NYSE: LCC) have hit a wall. Both airlines are probably still talking to AMR (NYSE: AMR), Continental (NYSE: CAL), and any puddle-jumper with a single-engine plane that they can find.

The airline industry got another dose of electric-shock therapy yesterday when JetBlue (NASDAQ: JBLU) said it would defer delivery on a number of new Airbus jets. Of course, if the airline doesn't make it, the delivery could be dodged altogether.

Managers at United and US Air have probably decided that thousand of hours talking about mergers will not save them. With oil at $130, putting together two airlines is not unlike lashing two drowning men to a leaky raft. Neither will be lonely, but both will still die.

Continued at 24/7 Wall St.

Lufthansa's announcement late Thursday that it would buy a 19% stake in JetBlue Airways (NASDAQ: JBLU) could lead to other deals as industry players seek both economies of scale and greater international reach, according to one analyst familiar with the airline sector. "This could be the deal that gets the airs [airlines] in merger-mode again," analyst C. Leonard Bauer told our sister site BloggingStocks Thursday.

Lufthansa announced Thursday it pay $7.27 per share for 42 million new JBLU shares, or about $300 million. That amounts to a 19% stake at Thursday's closing price, the airlines said in a joint statement Thursday. Lufthansa will also receive a seat on JetBlue's board.

Under U.S. law, no foreign airline can own more than 25% of a U.S. airline, and there are other restrictions that limit the foreign company's influence. The Lufthansa-JetBlue deal requires the approval of U.S. federal regulators.

Improved sector conditions

Bauer said three factors had reduced merger and acquisition talk in the airline for several years: sub-par sector cash flow, better merger/acquisition and partnership opportunities in other sectors, and regulation.

"For the longest time, U.S. airlines were not that attractive, particularly the weaker ones, but now cash flow has improved, the sector's growth prospects are adequate and the new 'open skies' rule will mean more competition across the Atlantic, so airlines have to be ready," Bauer said. "An airline could suddenly find itself vulnerable in a previously light-competition market, so they need to be ready to partner, or to merge or buy an airline for access to new markets."

Under the 'open skies' agreement, a slow deregulation of flight routes and markets between the United States and the European Union will begin in April 2008.

"The last thing a major carrier in the United States or Europe wants, for that matter, is to wake up one day and find that you're market has been penetrated, and you don't have comparable positions in some of those open skies markets," Bauer said.

For the first nine months of 2007 Lufthansa reported earnings of $2.33 billion or 1.60 billion euros and revenue of $23.9 billion or 16.4 billion euros.