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Goldman Sachs wants in on Japan's Simplex Investment Advisors

Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) is heading toward Japan in a partnered bid with Aetos Capital LLC to buy Japanese property company Simplex Investment Advisors in a 65% premium share bid, for the equivalent of about $1.1 billion to $1.35 billion, depending on your price calculations in current and closing prices of yen on the Japanese stock prices versus closing prices. The bid is for at least 80% of Simplex, and it appears that Nikko Cordial, part of Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) in Japan, is selling its 42.5% stake to the venture.

If you think the U.S. property weakness has been bad, the situation in Japan has been worse. Japan experienced its own bubble back in the 1980s, and only in recent years have things seemed to get better. Goldman Sachs has already been active in buying commercial and recreational properties in Japan over the last decade, but this would mark a larger leap into a property market that may hold relative values.

Goldman Sachs was Jim Cramer's #2 Value Pick for 2007, and he recently said he thinks its stock could go to $300.00 per share next year. If you look at how Goldman Sachs recently crushed earnings by betting against mortgages, you'll know why.

Goldman Sachs has raised over $4 billion this year for property acquisitions, so you can assume more land grabs are coming. Bloomberg has a pretty detailed piece that gives more background on the ongoing landgrabs in Japan. If you want to look up more data on Simplex Investment Advisors, it trades under the numeric stock ticker "8942" on the Tokyo Stock Exchange.

Jon Ogg produces the SPECIAL SITUATION INVESTING NEWSLETTER and he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

Group raises bid for Clear Channel

CNBC's David Faber is reporting that Bain Capital and Thomas H. Lee Partners are prepared to raise their offer for Clear Channel Communications (NYSE: CCU) to $39 per share, up from the current bid of $37.60. The shares closed yesterday at $36.72, the small discount indicating that many investors expected the private equity groups to sweeten the deal.

It remains to be seen whether the relatively modest increase of less than 4% will be enough to persuade investors to accept the deal. Calpers, which owns 3.3 million shares of the company, has voiced its opposition to the deal. I would be surprised if this $39 offer is the end of it. Based on the level of resistance to the $37.60 offer, I doubt such a small increase is enough to assuage the concerns of investors.

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