derivatives posts
FeedPosted Jun 17th 2010 9:00AM by Beth Gaston Moon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Research in Motion (RIMM), Options

Research in Motion (
RIMM) shares closed down Wednesday, under-performing the broader market, which finished near break even. RIMM didn't report any news of its own accord, but investors likely reacted to an ill-received earnings guidance from mobile-phone peer Nokia Corporation (
NOK). A large-scale options trader evidently used yesterday's pullback as an opportunity to
scoop up some longer-dated call options.
Early yesterday, a block of around 7,000 out-of-the-money January 85 calls hit the tape for $1.45 per contract ($145 apiece), for a total premium of slightly more than $1 million paid. While open interest is already 10,000 at this strike, it appears these calls were bought to open, judging from an increase in implied volatility (and the fact that these options have more than six months until expiration).
Continue reading Bulls Buying Calls in Research in Motion
Posted Apr 27th 2010 3:20PM by Paul Foster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Options
CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) up 3.50 to 20.98, above 50-day moving average of 17.83; S&P 500 recently down 1.71%.
Goldman Sachs (GS) is recently up 81c to $152.88. GS call option volume of 60,274 contracts compares to put volume of 63,724 contracts. May put option implied volatility is at 44, June is at 41; above its 26-week average of 33 according to Track Data. GS June 175 calls volatility is at 37, June 125 put volatility is at 58, suggesting traders taking positions for downside price movement.
Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.
Posted Feb 11th 2010 2:30PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Recession, Financial Crisis

One trend that has to reverse for the U.S. economy to return to premiere economy status: the trend of top talent toward financial services and away from other fields, including engineering, and the natural sciences.
The income gap between those who went into finance (for example as hedge fund managers and/or product designers of derivatives, credit default swaps, and other investment instruments) and those who went in to mechanical engineering or civil engineering widened considerably during the past 20 years: and where do think a lot of the talent went? You guessed it, in to designing derivatives, etc.
Continue reading U.S.: Too Many Financial Engineers, Not Enough Civil Engineers
Posted Oct 3rd 2009 12:20PM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Politics, Financial Crisis
House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank has a new proposal to regulate bank transactions. Some of it is OK and some of it perpetuates the abuses that brought Lehman and other financial institutions to their knees.
First the OK part. Frank's proposal would require over-the-counter derivatives to be traded on listed exchanges and sold on exchanges or processed through a regulation platform. This is not good enough. We need transparency for each and every trade done by each and every financial institution. That means that all trades must be done on a listed exchange and cleared through a clearinghouse. All of this data can be put on computers and monitored daily. Then if some trader goes beyond established guidelines, he will be shut down immediately.
Continue reading Barney Frank's plan for regulating derivatives comes up short
Posted Jul 11th 2009 5:30PM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Market Matters, Options, Financial Crisis
First of all, let's look at what hedging really is. Take, for example, a farmer who grows corn. He knows that his cost for growing corn is, say, $3.00 per bushel. But he doesn't know what price the price of bushel of corn will be come harvest time. He looks at the September futures contract for corn and sees that the price is $3.30 per bushel.
To guarantee that he will get $3.30 at harvest time, he sells September corn contracts equal to his crop (each corn contract equals 5,000 bushels). When harvest time comes he delivers his corn to the appropriate delivery point designated by the Chicago Board of Trade exchange (CBOT) where the contracts are traded. It should be noted that if the price of the futures contract goes above $3.30 per bushel, the farmer may be called for margin money until he makes delivery, at which time his account is settled out.
Continue reading Should Geithner eliminate speculation in financial derivatives?
Posted Jul 7th 2009 1:40PM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Market Matters, Commodities, Oil, Agriculture, Financial Crisis

Who is going to crackdown on the speculators? The agency responsible for supervision of the commodities markets is the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC.)
If you remember, last year the spike in oil prices to $147.00 per barrel was done through speculation in oil futures contracts. A futures contract gives the trader to right to bet on the prices of various commodities, on whether they will go up or down. Contracts usually last for three months, at which time the longs and the shorts are paired down to zero, leaving the speculators out of the final trading. However, the speculators simply move their positions to another forward contract, keeping their positions in place.
The rub has been on the concept of "position limits." In most commodities the CFTC imposes a limit on the number of contracts that a single person or firm can hold. The real bone of contention is that the CFTC does not impose limits on oil or oil products contracts. That has been left up to the various exchanges.
Continue reading Watch out speculators! The CFTC wants to clip your wings
Posted Jun 16th 2009 1:20PM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Federal Reserve, Financial Crisis
During the years leading up to the financial meltdown, banks primarily took mortgages and other loans and bundled them together. Rating agencies were called in to bless them -- we now know those ratings were bogus. No one bothered to ask what was in the packages and no one cared as long as the value kept rising. Then when the crash came, it was too late. Not knowing what was in the packages, investors could not sell because no one on the other side of the trade wanted to buy. The markets froze and the meltdown was on.
Now U.S. Treasury Geithner wants to change the rules and force lenders to retain at least 5% of the loans they generate. In a way, this is akin to a margin requirement for these securities. Obviously the banks oppose such a measure because it would tie up a portion of their capital.
Continue reading Treasury to impose the 5% rule on securitized securities
Posted May 20th 2009 2:00PM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Management, Annual Meetings
JP Morgan Chase & Company (NYSE JPM) held its annual shareholder meeting with Jamie Dimon, chief executive officer holding court.
Among his jabs against the Administration he complained that the rules against hiring foreigners was a "complete and utter disgrace." We might ask Mr. Dimon if he plans to hire another Chinese mathematician such as David X Li, whom JP Morgan Chase hired in 2000. Mr. Li developed a formula that created a single number from which traders bet billions of dollars in the past decade in derivatives which eventually brought the country to its knees when the housing bubble burst. This may help to explain why JP Morgan Chase has $87.7 trillion of derivatives "off the books." We might ask Mr Dimon to disclose the exact position in derivatives that he holds "off the books." Wouldn't that make fascinating reading?
Continue reading JPM's Jamie Dimon rambles on at the annual shareholder meeting
Posted Apr 8th 2009 4:15PM by Connie Madon (RSS feed)
Filed under: Market Matters, Financial Crisis
Why is it that bankers will not come to grips with the fact the derivatives are destructive and have taken this economy down and turned it to ruin? Toxic assets are derivatives and we are throwing about $3 trillion of taxpayer money into this black hole.
Instead they are stubbornly holding on to derivatives and playing mickey mouse with a few changes. Listen to this one: -- 1400 banks and asset managers are adopting a new "big bang" protocol to make it easier to know what will happen in the case of defaults. What in the world do they think they are doing -- creating a new universe? This just a sugar coating. Also, the US market will introduce a standardized pricing for CDS contracts which hitherto have been unregulated. The CDS market is not the main culprit. The main culprits are the CDOs and CLO's and the banks don't have a "big bang" for these derivatives.
Continue reading What is the new banking 'big bang' protocol?
Posted Mar 6th 2009 1:30PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Amer Intl Group (AIG), Federal Reserve, Financial Crisis

In the film version of Tennessee Williams'
'Cat On A Hot Tin Roof' (1958), Maggie 'The Cat' (Elizabeth Taylor), knows her husband
Brick (Paul Newman) is hiding something, but she can't figure out what it is.
Later, we learn that Brick is hiding the truth about his father, millionaire Big Daddy (Burl Ives), and he slowly gathers the courage to end the mendacity that has permeated their lives.
At some point the nation will, likewise, end the mendacity about
American International Group (NYSE:
AIG) and announce the full, probable cost of the orderly stabilization of AIG. For economic conservatives, market absolutists, most Republicans, and others who oppose government intervention, the above would be bad news, but at this juncture, it appears to be unavoidable.
Continue reading Just call it U.S. Government AIG
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