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The backside of IPOs

According to a report from the Ernst & Young's quarterly US IPO Pipeline Report, IPO activity is flattening as companies are waiting and watching to market to make their move. While that observation is obvious as a heart attack, there are some rather good details that may lead to help determine good IPO's versus bad IPO's in that report.

In the first quarter of 2008, 90 IPOs sat in the pipeline, the same amount as the last quarter of 2007. New registration was stable across the quarters, but the slide is still downward sequentially. In January there were 10 while February and March saw only 6 and 7, respectively. While the amount the registrations represent grew this quarter compared to last, $16.8 billion up to $17.3 billion, the numbers slowed toward the end of the quarter. It seems pre-IPO companies are holding tight and watching the market.

As expected, first quarter 2008 weakened compared to the first quarter in 2007. In the first quarter of 2007, 103 deals waited in the pipeline compared to 90 in 2008. In 2007, the registrants represented $22.8 billion compared to $17.3 billion in 2007. The average deal size also dropped, down to $192 million from $221 million. The largest deal in 2007, The Blackstone Group L.P. (NYSE: BX) reached $4.0 billion while in first quarter 2008, the largest was American Water Works at $1.6 billion. Visa Inc. (NYSE:V) was left off because of an end of quarter and for size issues as 'one of a kind.' Companies are also sitting in the pipeline much longer, 163 days on average compared to 113 in 2007.

Technology takes up the bulk of the pipeline with 26 registrants and $3.3 billion in dollar amount, up from $2.8 in fourth quarter 2007. Technology attracts foreign issuers with four out of five foreign issuers in the technology sector. While technology went up first quarter 2008, oil and gas dropped 60% from $5.3 billion fourth quarter 2007 to $1.9 billion. Biotech accounts for a solid 12 registrants and pharmaceuticals tally 11. California leads on a state-to-state basis, filing 16.7% of the total filings at 15. Texas and New York followed with 11 and 8, respectively.

Also according to the report... Patience and confidence are likely to ebb by June, but if you're a good company with solid business plans, practices and proven results, opportunities still await you in the markets.

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